Sport Picks

Scotland

Challenge Cup 2023/2024 Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock B

Wed, Aug 16, 2023

1 - 2

06:45 PM

Dumbarton

Our Tip

Match Events

40'

Pignatiello C.

Assist: Orsi K.

65'

Wales B.

Assist: Brown A.

Hilton J.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dumbarton in this Challenge Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Kilmarnock B

20%

Draws

40%

Dumbarton

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Dumbarton have won more games recently than Kilmarnock B.
36% — that's where the model lands on Kilmarnock B taking it.
Dumbarton arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Dumbarton, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Kilmarnock B Clean Sheet 19%

Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kilmarnock B	Dumbarton
Matches Played	15	28
Wins	4	8
Draws	1	5
Losses	10	15
Goals Scored	1.67	1.21
Goals Conceded	2.6	2.18
Expected Goals (xG)	1.85	1.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2023 Challenge Cup

Kilmarnock B vs Dumbarton

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kilmarnock B Compare

Top Goalscorer Wales B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.93

Dumbarton Compare

Top Goalscorer Pignatiello C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilmarnock B 36 / 100

Dumbarton 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kilmarnock B Dumbarton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dumbarton has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Kilmarnock B found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (15 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Dumbarton's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kilmarnock B VS Dumbarton

1.2 Goals Scored 1.13

1.4 Goals Conceded 2.5

60% Over 1.5 88%

40% Over 2.5 63%

20% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kilmarnock B

(Home)

08 Sept

Cowdenbeath

1 : 2

Kilmarnock B

25 Aug

Cumbernauld Colts

1 : 1

Kilmarnock B

11 Aug

East Kilbride

5 : 3

Kilmarnock B

11 Nov

Annan

6 : 0

Kilmarnock B

10 Oct

Clyde

2 : 1

Kilmarnock B

Page 1 of 3

Dumbarton

(Away)

12 Sept

Stranraer

3 : 1

Dumbarton

08 Sept

Cove Rangers

6 : 1

Dumbarton

05 Sept

Dumbarton

2 : 1

Elgin City

29 Aug

Annan

2 : 0

Dumbarton

25 Aug

Dumbarton

2 : 2

Celtic B

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Ayr -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Bala -

TBD -

Queen's Park -

Annan -

TBD -

Stranraer -

Brora Rangers 1

Aberdeen B 2

TBD -

Peterhead -

Dundee Utd -

TBD -

Dunfermline -

Brechin 3

Hearts B 2

Hibernian B 2

Formartine Utd 1

TBD -

TNS -

Dundee FC B 4

Buckie Thistle 0

TBD -

East Fife -

St. Mirren B 2

Albion Rovers 3

Tranent FC 1

Motherwell B 0

Partick -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

Arbroath -

TBD -

Inverness -

Edinburgh City -

TBD -

Stirling -

TBD -

Celtic B 1

East Kilbride 3

Coleraine -

TBD -

Hamilton -

Raith -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Cove Rangers -

TBD -

Montrose -

Morton -

TBD -

Elgin City 2

St Johnstone B 0

TBD -

Forfar Athletic -

Kilmarnock B 3

Bonnyrigg Rose 1

TBD -

Dumbarton -

TBD -

Kelty Hearts -

Stenhousemuir -

TBD -

Spartans 0

Rangers B 3

TBD -

Alloa -

Clyde -

TBD -

Stirling University 4

Livingston B 0

TBD -

Airdrieonians -

1/32-finals

Ayr -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Bala -

TBD -

Queen's Park -

Annan 3

Stranraer 1

Aberdeen B 3

Peterhead 5

Dundee Utd -

TBD -

Dunfermline -

Brechin 0

Hibernian B 4

TBD -

TNS -

Dundee FC B 0

East Fife 1

Albion Rovers 2

Tranent FC 0

Partick -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

Arbroath -

TBD -

Inverness -

Edinburgh City -

TBD -

Stirling 0

East Kilbride 3

Coleraine -

TBD -

Hamilton -

Raith -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Cove Rangers -

TBD -

Montrose -

Morton -

TBD -

Elgin City 1

Forfar Athletic 0

Kilmarnock B 1

Dumbarton 2

TBD -

Kelty Hearts -

Stenhousemuir 1

Rangers B 2

TBD -

Alloa -

Clyde 1

Stirling University 3

TBD -

Airdrieonians -

1/16-finals

Ayr 0

Falkirk 1

Bala 0

Queen's Park 3

Annan 0

Peterhead 2

Dundee Utd 3

Dunfermline 0

Hibernian B 0

TNS 3

East Fife 2

Albion Rovers 1

Partick 2

Queen of the South 3

Arbroath 4

Inverness 2

Edinburgh City 1

East Kilbride 4

Coleraine 1

Hamilton 3

Raith 3

Cliftonville 0

Cove Rangers 0

Montrose 2

Morton 2

Elgin City 1

Dumbarton 1

Kelty Hearts 3

Rangers B 4

Alloa 1

Stirling University 2

Airdrieonians 3

1/8-finals

Falkirk 1

Queen's Park 0

Peterhead 0

Dundee Utd 2

TNS 3

East Fife 2

Queen of the South 1

Arbroath 2

East Kilbride 2

Hamilton 5

Raith 3

Montrose 1

Morton 4

Kelty Hearts 1

Rangers B 2

Airdrieonians 4

Quarter-finals

Falkirk 4

Dundee Utd 2

TNS 4

Arbroath 1

Hamilton 1

Raith 4

Morton 0

Airdrieonians 1

Semi-finals

Falkirk 0

TNS 1

Raith 0

Airdrieonians 1

Final

TNS 1

Airdrieonians 2

Kilmarnock B vs Dumbarton

Scotland

Kilmarnock B

Dumbarton

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Kilmarnock B Compare

Dumbarton Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Kilmarnock B

Dumbarton

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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