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Kilmarnock B vs East Stirlingshire - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2022/2023 Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Watson D.
Assist: Ewing K.
16' Event
Warnock S.
21' Event
Wales B.
Assist: Sotona D.

AI Match Summary

Kilmarnock B in this Challenge Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 5-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kilmarnock B
15%
Draws
0%
East Stirlingshire
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kilmarnock B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kilmarnock B haven't matched East Stirlingshire's recent run of results.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • East Stirlingshire arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kilmarnock B, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Kilmarnock B Clean Sheet 11%
East Stirlingshire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kilmarnock B East Stirlingshire
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 4 6
Draws 1 3
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.59 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.65 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2022 Challenge Cup
Kilmarnock B vs East Stirlingshire
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kilmarnock B Compare

Top Goalscorer Warnock S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wales B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

East Stirlingshire Compare

Top Goalscorer Watson D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Honeyman S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilmarnock B 29 / 100
East Stirlingshire 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kilmarnock B East Stirlingshire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kilmarnock B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Stirlingshire's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

East Stirlingshire's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kilmarnock B found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (17 games).

Scoring Trends

Kilmarnock B VS East Stirlingshire
1.33 Goals Scored 1.5
2.17 Goals Conceded 2
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kilmarnock B

(Home)
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0
Kilmarnock B
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Kilmarnock B
08 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 2
Kilmarnock B
25 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
1 : 1
Kilmarnock B
11 Aug
East Kilbride
5 : 3
Kilmarnock B
Page 1 of 4

East Stirlingshire

(Away)
03 Oct
Bonnyton Thistle
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
26 Sept
East Stirlingshire
1 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
19 Sept
Boness United
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
12 Sept
East Stirlingshire
2 : 4
Linlithgow Rose
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Falkirk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Arbroath -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
East Fife -
TBD -
Fraserburgh 0
St Johnstone B 2
Dunfermline -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Albion Rovers 2
Celtic B 3
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Livingston B 1
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Montrose -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kilmarnock B 3
Cowdenbeath 0
St. Mirren B 0
East Stirlingshire 1
Cove Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
Morton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ayr -
Spartans 0
Rangers B 1
TBD -
Dumbarton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamilton -
Inverness -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian B 1
Brechin 2
TBD -
Stirling -
Peterhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Elgin City 1
Dundee Utd B 0
TBD -
Stenhousemuir -
Clyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Alloa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airdrieonians -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Edinburgh City -
TBD -
TBD -
Stranraer -
Motherwell B 1
East Kilbride 2
TBD -
Annan -
Forfar Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
Kelty Hearts -
Hearts B 2
Buckie Thistle 3
Brora Rangers 2
Aberdeen B 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Falkirk -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Arbroath -
TBD -
East Fife 4
St Johnstone B 0
Dunfermline -
TBD -
Celtic B 3
Livingston B 0
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Montrose -
TBD -
Kilmarnock B 5
East Stirlingshire 2
Cove Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
Morton -
TBD -
TBD -
Ayr -
Rangers B 7
Dumbarton 0
TBD -
Hamilton -
Inverness -
TBD -
Brechin 2
Stirling 1
Peterhead -
TBD -
Elgin City 3
Stenhousemuir 1
Clyde -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Alloa -
TBD -
TBD -
Airdrieonians -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
Edinburgh City 3
Stranraer 2
East Kilbride 1
Annan 2
Forfar Athletic 1
Kelty Hearts 2
Buckie Thistle 2
Brora Rangers 1
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Falkirk 2
Partick 0
TNS 0
Dundee FC 3
Arbroath 2
East Fife 1
Dunfermline 2
Celtic B 1
Cliftonville 2
Queen's Park 3
Montrose 4
Kilmarnock B 2
Cove Rangers 0
Raith 1
Morton 2
Ayr 1
Rangers B 0
Hamilton 3
Inverness 4
Brechin 3
Peterhead 0
Elgin City 4
Clyde 1
Caernarfon 0
Alloa 1
Airdrieonians 0
Queen of the South 4
Edinburgh City 0
Annan 1
Kelty Hearts 2
Buckie Thistle 1
Linfield 2
1/8-finals
Falkirk 0
Dundee FC 3
Arbroath 1
Dunfermline 5
Queen's Park 2
Montrose 0
Raith 2
Morton 1
Hamilton 2
Inverness 0
Elgin City 0
Clyde 1
Alloa 2
Queen of the South 4
Kelty Hearts 2
Linfield 1
Quarter-finals
Dundee FC 4
Dunfermline 2
Queen's Park 0
Raith 1
Hamilton 3
Clyde 2
Queen of the South 1
Kelty Hearts 0
Semi-finals
Dundee FC 2
Raith 3
Hamilton 2
Queen of the South 1
Final
Raith 0
Hamilton 1