Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock Logo

Kilmarnock

3 - 0
FT
Dundee Utd Logo

Dundee Utd

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Deas R.
Assist: Kiltie G.
28'
Farrugia N.
46'
Sub
Clescenco N. In: Thompson D.
Out: Clescenco N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiership 2025/2026 game between Kilmarnock and Dundee Utd finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kilmarnock.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kilmarnock
30%
Draws
41%
Dundee Utd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dundee Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Dundee Utd haven't matched Kilmarnock's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 12%
Dundee Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kilmarnock Dundee Utd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.67 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd
0:4
May 2, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kilmarnock Compare

Top Goalscorer Deas R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Curtis F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Dundee Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilmarnock 35 / 100
Dundee Utd 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kilmarnock Dundee Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dundee Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kilmarnock scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Dundee Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Kilmarnock remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kilmarnock VS Dundee Utd
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kilmarnock

(Home)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
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Dundee Utd

(Away)
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
29 Aug
Kilmarnock
0 : 4
Dundee Utd
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Dundee Utd 38 10 15 13 49:60 45
8 Dundee FC 38 11 9 18 42:61 42
9 Aberdeen 38 11 7 20 40:55 40
10 Kilmarnock 38 10 10 18 50:68 40
11 St. Mirren 38 8 10 20 30:55 34
12 Livingston 38 2 15 21 40:75 21
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship (Main)