Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kimberley vs Circulo Deportivo

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Jose Antonio Valle, Mar del Plata
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kimberley host Circulo Deportivo in the Torneo Federal. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Circulo Deportivo have shipped 0.5 goals a game lately, while Kimberley have conceded 0.38 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, Kimberley have won 3 to Circulo Deportivo's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 0.26, favoring Kimberley. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Kimberley
28%
Draws
22%
Circulo Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kimberley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Kimberley carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kimberley are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Kimberley Clean Sheet 20%
Circulo Deportivo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kimberley Circulo Deportivo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 12 11
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Kimberley
0:1
May 18, 2025 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Kimberley
0:1
Mar 16, 2025 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Circulo Deportivo
0:1
Jun 2, 2024 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Kimberley
0:1
Apr 7, 2024 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Circulo Deportivo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kimberley 49 / 100
Circulo Deportivo 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kimberley Circulo Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Circulo Deportivo let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Kimberley went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kimberley found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Kimberley VS Circulo Deportivo
0.88 Goals Scored 0.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kimberley

(Home)
05 Jul
Sol de Mayo
1 : 2
Kimberley
28 Jun
Kimberley
3 : 0
Guillermo Brown
20 Jun
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0 : 0
Kimberley
14 Jun
Kimberley
2 : 2
Alvarado
07 Jun
Santamarina
1 : 0
Kimberley
Page 1 of 6

Circulo Deportivo

(Away)
12 Jul
Circulo Deportivo
3 : 1
Sol de Mayo
05 Jul
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0
Circulo Deportivo
28 Jun
Circulo Deportivo
1 : 1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
20 Jun
Alvarado
1 : 0
Circulo Deportivo
14 Jun
Circulo Deportivo
0 : 0
Santamarina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1778219:729
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1775515:1026
4Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1775522:1826
59 de Julio Rafaela1774627:2525
6Sportivo Las Parejas1758411:1223
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1746714:2118
9Gimnasia E.R.1745812:1717
10El Linqueno1744913:2116
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1583424:1927
2Bartolome Mitre1575313:626
3Sol de America1582518:1226
4Sarmiento de La Banda1573516:1424
5Juventud Antoniana1564516:1122
6Defensores de Vilelas1661921:2619
7Boca Unidos1553719:2218
8Tucuman Central1551913:1816
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1557315:1122
3Biblioteca Atenas1564512:1322
4Huracan Las Heras1564511:1322
5Fundacion Amigos1548317:1420
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1546510:1418
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1544712:1616
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1577111:428
2Alvarado1676319:727
3Kimberley1567214:825
4Villa Mitre1557311:522
5Germinal154657:1218
6Sol de Mayo1545612:1517
7Guillermo Brown1535711:2014
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo152677:1512
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)