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Kingborough Lions vs Clarence Zebras Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Lightwood Park, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Badger J.
67' Event
Tooze S.
79' Event
Mies N.

AI Match Summary

Kingborough Lions in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kingborough Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kingborough Lions
15%
Draws
34%
Clarence Zebras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kingborough Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kingborough Lions lately — more wins on the board than Clarence Zebras.
  • Model gives Kingborough Lions a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kingborough Lions here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kingborough Lions Clean Sheet 17%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kingborough Lions Clarence Zebras
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 23 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2.56 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.15 2.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Clarence Zebras
3:1
May 23, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions
0:4
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Clarence Zebras
4:1
Jul 19, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions
1:4
May 10, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kingborough Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Badger J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mies N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Clarence Zebras Compare

Top Goalscorer Tooze S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kingborough Lions 48 / 100
Clarence Zebras 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kingborough Lions Clarence Zebras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kingborough Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kingborough Lions's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Clarence Zebras conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Kingborough Lions has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kingborough Lions VS Clarence Zebras
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kingborough Lions

(Home)
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2
Kingborough Lions
22 Aug
Kingborough Lions
5 : 0
Launceston City
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Kingborough Lions
3 : 1
Clarence Zebras
01 Aug
Kingborough Lions
2 : 0
Launceston United
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Clarence Zebras

(Away)
15 Aug
Launceston City
2 : 1
Clarence Zebras
08 Aug
Kingborough Lions
3 : 1
Clarence Zebras
02 Aug
Clarence Zebras
1 : 0
Ulverstone
18 Jul
Riverside Olympic
2 : 4
Clarence Zebras
11 Jul
Clarence Zebras
1 : 2
Launceston City
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