Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kingborough Lions vs Devonport Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Lightwood Park, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mies N.
85' Event
Tollervey J.
90' Event
Badger J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Kingborough Lions and Devonport finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kingborough Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kingborough Lions
15%
Draws
49%
Devonport
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Devonport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kingborough Lions come out ahead of Devonport on wins alone.
  • Devonport are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Kingborough Lions Clean Sheet 10%
Devonport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kingborough Lions Devonport
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 23 20
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.56 3.03
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Kingborough Lions
2:1
Jun 28, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Devonport
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Kingborough Lions
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Devonport
3:2
May 31, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Kingborough Lions
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kingborough Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Mies N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badger J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Devonport Compare

Top Goalscorer Tollervey J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kingborough Lions 10 / 100
Devonport 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kingborough Lions Devonport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Devonport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kingborough Lions found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Devonport conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kingborough Lions went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kingborough Lions VS Devonport
1.75 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kingborough Lions

(Home)
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2
Kingborough Lions
22 Aug
Kingborough Lions
5 : 0
Launceston City
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Kingborough Lions
3 : 1
Clarence Zebras
01 Aug
Kingborough Lions
2 : 0
Launceston United
Page 1 of 7

Devonport

(Away)
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1
Devonport
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3
Devonport
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0
Launceston City
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Devonport
Page 1 of 7