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Kingborough Lions vs Devonport

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Lightwood Park
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mies N.
85' Event
Tollervey J.
90' Event
Badger J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Kingborough Lions and Devonport finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kingborough Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kingborough Lions
6%
Draws
4%
Devonport
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kingborough Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kingborough Lions come out ahead of Devonport on wins alone.
  • Kingborough Lions are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • History favors Kingborough Lions here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Kingborough Lions Clean Sheet 16%
Devonport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kingborough Lions Devonport
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 3.88 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Devonport
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Kingborough Lions
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Devonport
3:2
May 31, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Kingborough Lions
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Devonport
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kingborough Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Mies N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badger J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

Devonport Compare

Top Goalscorer Tollervey J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kingborough Lions 84 / 100
Devonport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kingborough Lions Devonport

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kingborough Lions found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Devonport let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Kingborough Lions went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kingborough Lions VS Devonport
3.88 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%