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Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Lightwood Park, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Tebeje S.
24' Event
Mies N.
45' Event
Huseyin K.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Kingborough Lions and Glenorchy Knights finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kingborough Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kingborough Lions
6%
Draws
4%
Glenorchy Knights
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kingborough Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kingborough Lions come out ahead of Glenorchy Knights on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kingborough Lions a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Kingborough Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Glenorchy Knights Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kingborough Lions Glenorchy Knights
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 21 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 3.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Kingborough Lions
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights
3:1
Aug 15, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Kingborough Lions
1:1
Jun 21, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights
3:0
Apr 12, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kingborough Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Tebeje S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mies N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Glenorchy Knights Compare

Top Goalscorer Huseyin K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kingborough Lions 85 / 100
Glenorchy Knights 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kingborough Lions Glenorchy Knights

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kingborough Lions scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Glenorchy Knights's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Kingborough Lions has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kingborough Lions VS Glenorchy Knights
3.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kingborough Lions

(Home)
18 Jul
Launceston City
1 : 3
Kingborough Lions
10 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
0 : 2
Kingborough Lions
04 Jul
Ulverstone
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
28 Jun
Kingborough Lions
2 : 1
Devonport
21 Jun
Kingborough Lions
1 : 1
South Hobart
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Glenorchy Knights

(Away)
19 Jul
Ulverstone
0 : 2
Glenorchy Knights
10 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
0 : 2
Kingborough Lions
04 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 2
Clarence Zebras
27 Jun
South Hobart
6 : 1
Glenorchy Knights
20 Jun
South East United
1 : 0
Glenorchy Knights
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