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King’s Lynn vs Buxton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

King’s Lynn host Buxton in the National League North. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Buxton have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while King’s Lynn have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor King’s Lynn slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.88) point toward Buxton. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
King’s Lynn
15%
Draws
42%
Buxton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: King’s Lynn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • King’s Lynn haven't matched Buxton's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans King’s Lynn's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and King’s Lynn have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
King’s Lynn Clean Sheet 10%
Buxton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric King’s Lynn Buxton
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 20
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 National League North
Buxton vs King’s Lynn
1:2
Nov 25, 2025 National League North
King’s Lynn vs Buxton
3:2
Mar 22, 2025 National League North
Buxton vs King’s Lynn
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 National League North
King’s Lynn vs Buxton
2:0
Jan 13, 2024 National League North
Buxton vs King’s Lynn
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

King’s Lynn 65 / 100
Buxton 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
King’s Lynn Buxton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick King’s Lynn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

King’s Lynn scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Buxton let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: King’s Lynn remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

King’s Lynn VS Buxton
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

King’s Lynn

(Home)
26 Sept
Telford
0 : 5
King’s Lynn
19 Sept
Bedford
2 : 1
King’s Lynn
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0
Chorley
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3
Hednesford
05 Sept
Darlington FC
0 : 2
King’s Lynn
Page 1 of 6

Buxton

(Away)
03 Oct
Buxton
0 : 2
South Shields
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0
Buxton
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0
Ashton United
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1
Chester
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0
Brackley
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)