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Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza vs Kaposvolgye

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza play Kaposvolgye in the Hungarian Cup 2009/2010. Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza are favorites here. Recently, Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza averaged 0 goals scored and 3 conceded. Kaposvolgye averaged 0.74 goals scored and 2.74 conceded. In past meetings, Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza won 0, Kaposvolgye won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 16, 2009 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.35 for Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza and 0.86 for Kaposvolgye. This points to a Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza
25%
Draws
15%
Kaposvolgye
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza picked up more points recently compared to Kaposvolgye.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.35 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza Clean Sheet 25%
Kaposvolgye Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza Kaposvolgye
Matches Played 1 31
Wins 0 4
Draws 0 2
Losses 1 25
Goals Scored 0 0.74
Goals Conceded 3 2.74

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2009 Hungarian Cup
Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza vs Kaposvolgye
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza 59 / 100
Kaposvolgye 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza Kaposvolgye

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza attacking → ← attacking Kaposvolgye

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza scored in 0% of their last 1 games.

Kaposvolgye let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kinizsi SC Szabadegyhaza went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Kaposvolgye lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 14
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.50