Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara KMC Stadium

Kinondoni MC

2 - 3

Fountain Gate

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Said S.

31'

Mwijage E.

Assist: Chambo R.

46'

Sub

Mwijage E. In: Mpepo E.

Out: Mwijage E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Kinondoni MC and Fountain Gate finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fountain Gate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Kinondoni MC

22%

Draws

60%

Fountain Gate

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fountain Gate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Fountain Gate come out ahead of Kinondoni MC on wins alone.
Fountain Gate are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Fountain Gate have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Kinondoni MC Clean Sheet 13%

Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kinondoni MC	Fountain Gate
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	2	9
Draws	3	6
Losses	25	15
Goals Scored	0.75	1.25
Goals Conceded	2.13	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Kinondoni MC vs Fountain Gate

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

Oct 25, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Fountain Gate vs Kinondoni MC

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Mar 6, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Kinondoni MC vs Fountain Gate

Possession: 53% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Oct 21, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Fountain Gate vs Kinondoni MC

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

May 16, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Kinondoni MC vs Fountain Gate

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kinondoni MC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwijage E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Chambo R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Fountain Gate Compare

Top Goalscorer Said S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Obasi C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kinondoni MC 19 / 100

Fountain Gate 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kinondoni MC Fountain Gate

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fountain Gate let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Fountain Gate registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kinondoni MC's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kinondoni MC VS Fountain Gate

0.75 Goals Scored 1.25

2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63

50% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9