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Kirkenes vs Norild

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 12 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 12 2012 game between Kirkenes and Norild finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kirkenes
15%
Draws
0%
Norild
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kirkenes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kirkenes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kirkenes's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 12 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kirkenes Clean Sheet 10%
Norild Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kirkenes Norild
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 10 24
Goals Scored 2.13 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.8 3.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2013 Division 3 - Group 12
Norild vs Kirkenes
2:2
May 16, 2013 Division 3 - Group 12
Kirkenes vs Norild
2:1
Aug 2, 2012 Division 3 - Group 12
Kirkenes vs Norild
2:2
Apr 28, 2012 Division 3 - Group 12
Norild vs Kirkenes
3:2
Apr 6, 2011 NM Cup
Norild vs Kirkenes
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kirkenes 56 / 100
Norild 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kirkenes Norild

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kirkenes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kirkenes found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Norild's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Norild lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kirkenes VS Norild
0 Goals Scored 1.75
11 Goals Conceded 3.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Kirkenes

(Home)
10 Apr
Kirkenes
0 : 11
Alta
08 Oct
Kirkenes
0 : 1
Alta 2
01 Oct
Tverrelvdalen
0 : 3
Kirkenes
24 Sept
Kirkenes
0 : 0
Bjornevatn IL
18 Sept
Skarp
1 : 2
Kirkenes
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Norild

(Away)
26 Oct
Norild
1 : 9
Ullern
19 Oct
Tonsberg
6 : 0
Norild
12 Oct
Norild
0 : 1
Mjondalen 2
05 Oct
Grei
2 : 1
Norild
29 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
2 : 0
Norild
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