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Kirklarelispor vs Aliaga

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Karaahmet M.
Assist: Kavaklidere H.
80' Event
Tograk S.
90' Event
Kavaklidere H.
Assist: Karaahmet M.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 game between Kirklarelispor and Aliaga finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aliaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Kirklarelispor
22%
Draws
18%
Aliaga
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kirklarelispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aliaga come out ahead of Kirklarelispor on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kirklarelispor a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kirklarelispor Clean Sheet 10%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kirklarelispor Aliaga
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1 3
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Kirklarelispor vs Aliaga
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Aliaga vs Kirklarelispor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kirklarelispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tograk S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Aliaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Karaahmet M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kavaklidere H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kirklarelispor 56 / 100
Aliaga 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kirklarelispor Aliaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KRK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kirklarelispor scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Aliaga let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Kirklarelispor has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kirklarelispor VS Aliaga
1 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kirklarelispor

(Home)
25 Apr
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0 : 3
Kirklarelispor
19 Apr
Kirklarelispor
1 : 2
Trabzon FK
12 Apr
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Kirklarelispor
04 Apr
Kirklarelispor
1 : 2
Aliaga
28 Mar
Soma Spor
2 : 0
Kirklarelispor
Page 1 of 6

Aliaga

(Away)
04 May
Musspor
1 : 0
Aliaga
30 Apr
Aliaga
1 : 1
Musspor
25 Apr
Aliaga
0 : 5
Bursaspor
19 Apr
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1
Aliaga
12 Apr
Aliaga
5 : 0
Menemenspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor34255487:1980
2Mardin 196934225767:2571
3Musspor34217682:3570
4Aliaga34216781:3269
5K. Istklalspor34214982:3367
6Isparta 32 Spor34189770:3663
7Guzide Gebzespor341610856:3158
8Menemenspor341561357:5151
9Ankara Demirspor341471347:4749
10Aksaray Bld.341114952:3847
11Trabzon FK341381354:5147
12Arnavutkoy Bl.341371440:3646
13Fethiyespor3411111252:4144
14Kirklarelispor34991644:4936
15Soma Spor34862041:6830
16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu33432622:9712
17Adanaspor AS33213014:1591
18Yeni Malatyaspor3402328:114-52
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)