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Kirkop vs Lija

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Lija advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Kirkop
15%
Draws
59%
Lija
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lija come out ahead of Kirkop on wins alone.
  • 26% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Lija arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lija, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kirkop Clean Sheet 20%
Lija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kirkop Lija
Matches Played 16 31
Wins 6 8
Draws 0 5
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.44 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2023 FA Trophy
Kirkop vs Lija
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kirkop 31 / 100
Lija 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kirkop Lija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kirkop Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lija has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Kirkop's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Kirkop remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lija
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kirkop

(Home)
12 Dec
Kirkop
1 : 2
Lija
07 Sept
Kirkop
2 : 3
Kercem Ajax
26 Oct
Kirkop
1 : 2
Vittoriosa
08 Sept
Kirkop
2 : 1
Kercem Ajax
20 Sept
Ghajnsielem
3 : 2
Kirkop
Page 1 of 4

Lija

(Away)
19 Apr
Lija
0 : 6
Valletta
12 Apr
Lija
3 : 0
Zebbug
06 Apr
Senglea
1 : 1
Lija
29 Mar
Lija
2 : 3
Fgura
08 Mar
Gudja
0 : 1
Lija
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
Zejtun 3
Kercem Ajax 2
Luqa -
TBD -
St. George's FC 1
Swieqi 5
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Tarxien 1
Zebbug 2
Gzira -
TBD -
Oratory 0
Fgura 2
Hibernians -
TBD -
Melita 5
Qala Saints 7
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 1
Marsa 2
Msida 5
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Nadur 3
St. Andrews 2
TBD -
Sirens -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Kirkop 1
Lija 2
Xewkija -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Senglea 2
Pieta 3
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
1/16-finals
Marsaxlokk 5
Zejtun 0
Luqa 1
Swieqi 2
Floriana 2
Naxxar Lions 0
Zabbar 1
Zebbug 2
Gzira 2
Fgura 0
Hibernians 2
Qala Saints 0
Santa Lucia 2
Marsa 0
Msida 1
Mgarr 3
Birkirkara 3
Attard 1
Nadur 1
Sirens 2
Hamrun 3
Lija 0
Xewkija 0
Gudja 3
Mosta FC 5
Pieta 1
Valletta 7
Ghajnsielem 1
Sliema 3
Marsaskala FC 0
Balzan FC 2
Zurrieq 1
1/8-finals
Marsaxlokk 3
Swieqi 0
Floriana 7
Zebbug 1
Gzira 1
Hibernians 0
Santa Lucia 3
Mgarr 4
Birkirkara 1
Sirens 0
Hamrun 3
Gudja 0
Mosta FC 2
Valletta 1
Sliema 1
Balzan FC 0
Quarter-finals
Marsaxlokk 0
Floriana 2
Gzira 2
Mgarr 0
Birkirkara 3
Hamrun 2
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 3
Semi-finals
Floriana 3
Gzira 2
Birkirkara 0
Sliema 1
Final
Floriana 0
Sliema 1