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Kirkop vs Mtarfa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kirkop in this FA Trophy 2015/2016 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kirkop
15%
Draws
0%
Mtarfa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kirkop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kirkop have won more games recently than Mtarfa.
  • Kirkop are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Kirkop have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kirkop, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Kirkop Clean Sheet 20%
Mtarfa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kirkop Mtarfa
Matches Played 16 31
Wins 6 5
Draws 0 2
Losses 10 24
Goals Scored 1.44 0.74
Goals Conceded 2.06 3.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.67 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2015 FA Trophy
Kirkop vs Mtarfa
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kirkop 85 / 100
Mtarfa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kirkop Mtarfa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kirkop Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mtarfa let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Mtarfa has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kirkop's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mtarfa
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 4.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kirkop

(Home)
12 Dec
Kirkop
1 : 2
Lija
07 Sept
Kirkop
2 : 3
Kercem Ajax
26 Oct
Kirkop
1 : 2
Vittoriosa
08 Sept
Kirkop
2 : 1
Kercem Ajax
20 Sept
Ghajnsielem
3 : 2
Kirkop
Page 1 of 4

Mtarfa

(Away)
19 Apr
Mtarfa
1 : 5
Santa Lucia
11 Apr
Marsa
5 : 0
Mtarfa
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1
Vittoriosa
15 Mar
Gudja
3 : 0
Mtarfa
07 Mar
Mtarfa
0 : 2
Zurrieq
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
Xaghra -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Nadur -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Swieqi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharb -
TBD -
TBD -
Xbiex -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Oratory 5
Marsaskala FC 1
TBD -
St. Lawrence -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Msida -
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
Munxar -
Xghajra -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
1/64-finals
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax 6
Kalkara 0
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
St. Venera 5
Xaghra 3
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Nadur 1
Mdina 0
TBD -
Zabbar -
Swieqi -
TBD -
Gharb 0
Xbiex 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 3
Attard 1
Oratory 0
St. Lawrence 1
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
Luqa 0
Xewkija 4
Kirkop -
TBD -
Santa Lucia 0
Mtarfa 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
Msida -
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows 2
Munxar 0
Xghajra 0
Ghajnsielem 1
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Marsaxlokk 2
Ghaxaq 1
TBD -
Zejtun -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
Qala Saints 0
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
1/32-finals
Sliema -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax 0
Vittoriosa 2
St. Venera 2
Birzebbuga 1
Zurrieq 1
Gharghur 2
Gzira 6
Sirens 0
Nadur 1
Zabbar 6
Swieqi 2
Xbiex 1
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Floriana -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 2
St. Lawrence 4
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
Mellieha 1
Lija 2
Valletta -
TBD -
Marsa 2
Xewkija 4
Kirkop 3
Mtarfa 2
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Siggiewi 0
Fgura 3
Rabat Ajax 4
Msida 1
Mgarr 1
Melita 3
Qormi -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows 1
Ghajnsielem 2
Zebbug 4
Qrendi 1
TBD -
Tarxien -
Pieta 2
Senglea 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zejtun 1
Mqabba FC 5
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Hamrun 0
St. George's FC 1
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
San Gwann 1
Gudja 0
TBD -
Pembroke -
1/16-finals
Sliema 1
Vittoriosa 0
St. Venera 0
Gharghur 2
Gzira 3
Zabbar 0
Swieqi 2
St. Andrews 4
Floriana 3
St. Lawrence 0
Naxxar Lions 0
Lija 1
Valletta 3
Xewkija 1
Kirkop 0
Birkirkara 6
Balzan FC 2
Fgura 1
Rabat Ajax 1
Melita 4
Qormi 1
Ghajnsielem 0
Zebbug 1
Tarxien 4
Pieta 4
Zejtun 1
Mqabba FC 0
St. George's FC 1
Hibernians 2
Mosta FC 1
San Gwann 0
Pembroke 3
1/8-finals
Sliema 2
Gharghur 1
Gzira 1
St. Andrews 2
Floriana 2
Lija 1
Valletta 0
Birkirkara 1
Balzan FC 2
Melita 0
Qormi 1
Tarxien 4
Pieta 3
St. George's FC 2
Hibernians 1
Pembroke 2
Quarter-finals
Sliema 2
St. Andrews 1
Floriana 0
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 1
Tarxien 0
Pieta 1
Pembroke 3
Semi-finals
Sliema 1
Birkirkara 0
Balzan FC 3
Pembroke 1
Final
Sliema 1
Balzan FC 0