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Kiruna vs Bergnasets AIK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Berg L.
31' Event
Johnson P. I.
32' Event
Johnson P. I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kiruna
30%
Draws
31%
Bergnasets AIK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kiruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Kiruna haven't matched Bergnasets AIK's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kiruna's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Kiruna Clean Sheet 13%
Bergnasets AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiruna Bergnasets AIK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.23 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Bergnasets AIK
4:4
Aug 23, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Kiruna
0:3
May 24, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Bergnasets AIK
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Kiruna
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Kiruna
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kiruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Arhin F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Berg L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Bergnasets AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson P. I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Engberg M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiruna 66 / 100
Bergnasets AIK 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiruna Bergnasets AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiruna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergnasets AIK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Kiruna's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kiruna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kiruna VS Bergnasets AIK
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiruna

(Home)
01 Nov
Kiruna
1 : 1
IFK Umea
25 Oct
IFK Umea
2 : 1
Kiruna
18 Oct
Friska Viljor
0 : 4
Kiruna
11 Oct
Kiruna
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
05 Oct
Boden City
0 : 0
Kiruna
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Bergnasets AIK

(Away)
15 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 0
Boden
11 Oct
Taftea IK
3 : 0
Bergnasets AIK
04 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 4
Friska Viljor
27 Sept
Kiruna
4 : 4
Bergnasets AIK
20 Sept
Bergnasets AIK
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 12 8 0 4 33:27 28
2 Boden 12 6 1 5 21:22 23
3 Taftea IK 12 7 1 4 22:15 22
4 Lucksta IF 12 6 0 6 23:23 20
5 Kiruna 12 4 3 5 19:19 17
6 Bergnasets AIK 12 3 2 7 24:30 17
7 Boden City 12 4 1 7 18:24 13
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation)