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Kiruna vs IFK Lulea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Omoregie T.
25' Event
Arhin F.
52' Event
Ring E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland 2025 game between Kiruna and IFK Lulea finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kiruna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Kiruna
20%
Draws
56%
IFK Lulea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: IFK Lulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IFK Lulea come out ahead of Kiruna on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Kiruna Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Lulea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiruna IFK Lulea
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 20
Draws 11 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.23 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs IFK Lulea
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Kiruna
5:1
Oct 12, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs IFK Lulea
1:1
May 25, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Kiruna
3:1
Aug 6, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs IFK Lulea
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kiruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Omoregie T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arhin F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

IFK Lulea Compare

Top Goalscorer Ring E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiruna 34 / 100
IFK Lulea 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiruna IFK Lulea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Lulea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Kiruna found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

IFK Lulea has conceded goals in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Solid form: Kiruna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS IFK Lulea
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiruna

(Home)
01 Nov
Kiruna
1 : 1
IFK Umea
25 Oct
IFK Umea
2 : 1
Kiruna
18 Oct
Friska Viljor
0 : 4
Kiruna
11 Oct
Kiruna
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
05 Oct
Boden City
0 : 0
Kiruna
Page 1 of 6

IFK Lulea

(Away)
03 Oct
IFK Lulea
4 : 2
Skelleftea
26 Sept
Kubikenborgs
0 : 1
IFK Lulea
19 Sept
IFK Lulea
3 : 1
Lucksta IF
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0
IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Taftea IK
1 : 2
IFK Lulea
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pitea 12 9 2 1 32:12 29
2 Skelleftea 12 7 2 3 24:16 23
3 IFK Lulea 12 6 4 2 21:11 22
4 Bergnasets AIK 12 3 4 5 12:20 13
5 Boden 12 3 3 6 10:20 12
6 Kiruna 12 1 5 6 13:23 8
7 Boden City 12 1 4 7 12:22 7
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IFK Ostersund 12 9 1 2 39:18 28
2 Umea FC Akademi 12 8 0 4 32:19 24
3 Kubikenborgs 12 7 0 5 20:22 21
4 Gottne IF 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
5 Friska Viljor 12 5 0 7 24:25 15
6 Lucksta IF 12 3 1 8 19:30 10
7 Taftea IK 12 2 3 7 11:28 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)