Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kiruna vs IFK Umea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Edlund H.
62'
Evander E.
64' Event
Naylor A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Kiruna
20%
Draws
0%
IFK Umea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kiruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Kiruna have won more games recently than IFK Umea.
  • Kiruna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Kiruna have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kiruna Clean Sheet 20%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiruna IFK Umea
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 2
Draws 11 3
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.23 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs IFK Umea
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Kiruna
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kiruna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

IFK Umea Compare

Top Goalscorer Edlund H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiruna 85 / 100
IFK Umea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiruna IFK Umea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiruna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: IFK Umea conceded in 100% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: IFK Umea registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kiruna found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kiruna VS IFK Umea
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiruna

(Home)
01 Nov
Kiruna
1 : 1
IFK Umea
25 Oct
IFK Umea
2 : 1
Kiruna
18 Oct
Friska Viljor
0 : 4
Kiruna
11 Oct
Kiruna
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
05 Oct
Boden City
0 : 0
Kiruna
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IFK Umea

(Away)
05 Sept
IFK Umea
2 : 3
Friska Viljor
26 Aug
IFK Umea
1 : 5
Umea FC Akademi
21 Aug
Umea FF
4 : 0
IFK Umea
15 Aug
IFK Umea
1 : 2
Storfors AIK
09 Aug
IFK Umea
2 : 3
Fransta IK
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Kiruna 2
IFK Umea 3