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Kiruna vs IFK Umea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Edlund H.
62'
Evander E.
64' Event
Naylor A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kiruna
6%
Draws
4%
IFK Umea
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kiruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kiruna have won more games recently than IFK Umea.
  • Kiruna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Kiruna Clean Sheet 20%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiruna IFK Umea
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 3
Draws 11 4
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.71 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs IFK Umea
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Kiruna
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kiruna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

IFK Umea Compare

Top Goalscorer Edlund H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiruna 85 / 100
IFK Umea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiruna IFK Umea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Umea has conceded goals in 100% of their last 29 outings.

Kiruna found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Kiruna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kiruna VS IFK Umea
1.71 Goals Scored 0.63
1.57 Goals Conceded 2.5
86% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Kiruna2
IFK Umea3