Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Marmorek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2025/2026
Sat, Mar 21, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kiryat Gat host Hapoel Marmorek in the Liga Alef South 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Hapoel Marmorek have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Kiryat Gat have conceded 1.15 and scored 1.85. Head-to-head, Kiryat Gat have won 1 to Hapoel Marmorek's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 0.69) point toward Kiryat Gat. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kiryat Gat
30%
Draws
23%
Hapoel Marmorek
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kiryat Gat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Marmorek haven't matched Kiryat Gat's recent run of results.
  • Kiryat Gat are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Alef South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kiryat Gat Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Marmorek Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiryat Gat Hapoel Marmorek
Matches Played 20 22
Wins 12 5
Draws 3 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.85 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga Alef South
Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Marmorek
0:0
Dec 5, 2025 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Marmorek vs Kiryat Gat
0:2
Jan 31, 2020 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Marmorek vs Kiryat Gat
5:0
Sep 27, 2019 Liga Alef South
Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Marmorek
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiryat Gat 36 / 100
Hapoel Marmorek 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiryat Gat Hapoel Marmorek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiryat Gat's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Hapoel Marmorek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 22 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Hapoel Marmorek has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kiryat Gat VS Hapoel Marmorek
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiryat Gat

(Home)
01 Oct
Yehuda
2 : 1
Kiryat Gat
28 Sept
Kiryat Gat
0 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
17 Sept
H. Raanana
0 : 1
Kiryat Gat
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 0
Kiryat Gat
07 Sept
Kiryat Gat
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
Page 1 of 4

Hapoel Marmorek

(Away)
08 Oct
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
01 Oct
Kfar Saba 1928
2 : 2
Hapoel Marmorek
23 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
18 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
0 : 1
Ramat Hasharon
09 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Hapoel Marmorek
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiryat Gat 21 17 4 0 53:18 55
2 Jerusalem FC 22 11 4 7 45:29 37
3 FC Dimona 22 11 4 7 29:30 37
4 Maccabi Yavne 22 10 6 6 42:28 36
5 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 22 10 5 7 27:27 35
6 Tzeirei Tira 21 10 3 8 33:24 33
7 Shimshon Tel Aviv 22 8 6 8 28:28 30
8 Beitar Yavne 22 9 3 10 27:34 30
9 Kfar Saba 1928 22 7 8 7 28:31 29
10 Holon Yermiyahu 22 6 6 10 30:33 24
11 Hapoel Marmorek 22 6 6 10 20:34 24
12 Hapoel Azor 21 5 8 8 17:20 23
13 H. Herzliya 22 5 7 10 22:36 22
14 Ramat Hasharon 22 5 5 12 24:43 19
15 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 21 7 7 7 37:35 16
16 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 22 3 6 13 28:40 15
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)