Sport Picks

Israel

Liga Alef South

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kiryat Gat host Hapoel Marmorek in the Liga Alef South. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Hapoel Marmorek have shipped 0.25 goals a game lately, while Kiryat Gat have conceded 0.25 and scored 0.63. Head-to-head, Kiryat Gat have won 1 to Hapoel Marmorek's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.44 xG vs 0.25) point toward Kiryat Gat. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Kiryat Gat

20%

Draws

38%

Hapoel Marmorek

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kiryat Gat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Kiryat Gat has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Hapoel Marmorek.
Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Kiryat Gat.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Alef South provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Kiryat Gat Clean Sheet 20%

Hapoel Marmorek Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kiryat Gat	Hapoel Marmorek
Matches Played	21	22
Wins	17	6
Draws	3	6
Losses	1	10
Goals Scored	0.63	0.25
Goals Conceded	0.25	0.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga Alef South

Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Marmorek

Possession: 57% - 60% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Dec 5, 2025 Liga Alef South

Hapoel Marmorek vs Kiryat Gat

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 4 - 4

0:2

Jan 31, 2020 Liga Alef South

Hapoel Marmorek vs Kiryat Gat

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

5:0

Sep 27, 2019 Liga Alef South

Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Marmorek

Possession: 55% - 60% Cards: 1 - 3

0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiryat Gat 42 / 100

Hapoel Marmorek 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kiryat Gat Hapoel Marmorek

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiryat Gat scored in 100% of their last 21 games.

Hapoel Marmorek let in goals in 73% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kiryat Gat went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Hapoel Marmorek lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kiryat Gat VS Hapoel Marmorek

0.63 Goals Scored 0.25

0.25 Goals Conceded 0.25

25% Over 1.5 25%

13% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kiryat Gat	21	17	4	0	53:18	55
2	Jerusalem FC	22	11	4	7	45:29	37
3	FC Dimona	22	11	4	7	29:30	37
4	Maccabi Yavne	22	10	6	6	42:28	36
5	Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi	22	10	5	7	27:27	35
6	Tzeirei Tira	21	10	3	8	33:24	33
7	Shimshon Tel Aviv	22	8	6	8	28:28	30
8	Beitar Yavne	22	9	3	10	27:34	30
9	Kfar Saba 1928	22	7	8	7	28:31	29
10	Holon Yermiyahu	22	6	6	10	30:33	24
11	Hapoel Marmorek	22	6	6	10	20:34	24
12	Hapoel Azor	21	5	8	8	17:20	23
13	H. Herzliya	22	5	7	10	22:36	22
14	Ramat Hasharon	22	5	5	12	24:43	19
15	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	21	7	7	7	37:35	16
16	Beitar Nordia Jerusalem	22	3	6	13	28:40	15