Sport Picks

Israel

Liga Alef South

Jerusalem FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kiryat Gat host Jerusalem FC in the Liga Alef South. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Jerusalem FC have shipped 0.25 goals a game lately, while Kiryat Gat have conceded 0.25 and scored 0.63. Head-to-head, Kiryat Gat have won 1 to Jerusalem FC's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.44 xG vs 0.50) point toward Kiryat Gat. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Kiryat Gat

20%

Draws

38%

Jerusalem FC

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kiryat Gat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Kiryat Gat carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Kiryat Gat's way, sitting at 42%.
Regular Liga Alef South form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Kiryat Gat Clean Sheet 20%

Jerusalem FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kiryat Gat	Jerusalem FC
Matches Played	21	22
Wins	17	10
Draws	3	4
Losses	1	8
Goals Scored	0.63	0.75
Goals Conceded	0.25	0.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Liga Alef South

Kiryat Gat vs Jerusalem FC

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Nov 7, 2025 Liga Alef South

Jerusalem FC vs Kiryat Gat

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiryat Gat 42 / 100

Jerusalem FC 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kiryat Gat Jerusalem FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiryat Gat's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Solid form: Kiryat Gat remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Jerusalem FC conceded in 77% of 22 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Kiryat Gat VS Jerusalem FC

0.63 Goals Scored 0.75

0.25 Goals Conceded 0.25

25% Over 1.5 25%

13% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kiryat Gat	21	17	4	0	53:18	55
2	Jerusalem FC	22	11	4	7	45:29	37
3	FC Dimona	22	11	4	7	29:30	37
4	Maccabi Yavne	22	10	6	6	42:28	36
5	Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi	22	10	5	7	27:27	35
6	Tzeirei Tira	21	10	3	8	33:24	33
7	Shimshon Tel Aviv	22	8	6	8	28:28	30
8	Beitar Yavne	22	9	3	10	27:34	30
9	Kfar Saba 1928	22	7	8	7	28:31	29
10	Holon Yermiyahu	22	6	6	10	30:33	24
11	Hapoel Marmorek	22	6	6	10	20:34	24
12	Hapoel Azor	21	5	8	8	17:20	23
13	H. Herzliya	22	5	7	10	22:36	22
14	Ramat Hasharon	22	5	5	12	24:43	19
15	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	21	7	7	7	37:35	16
16	Beitar Nordia Jerusalem	22	3	6	13	28:40	15