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Kiryat Gat vs M. Nazareth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kiryat Gat host M. Nazareth in the Leumit League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Kiryat Gat at 1.75 goals for, 1.2 against; M. Nazareth at 1.44 for, 1.44 against. Head-to-head, Kiryat Gat have won 1 to M. Nazareth's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 18, 2015, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.31) point toward Kiryat Gat. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kiryat Gat
20%
Draws
44%
M. Nazareth
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: M. Nazareth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kiryat Gat lately — more wins on the board than M. Nazareth.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Kiryat Gat taking it.
  • Regular Leumit League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Kiryat Gat Clean Sheet 18%
M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiryat Gat M. Nazareth
Matches Played 20 18
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2015 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Kiryat Gat
2:2
Aug 21, 2015 Leumit League
Kiryat Gat vs M. Nazareth
1:2
May 4, 2015 Leumit League
Kiryat Gat vs M. Nazareth
1:3
Mar 23, 2015 Leumit League
Kiryat Gat vs M. Nazareth
0:1
Dec 5, 2014 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Kiryat Gat
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiryat Gat 58 / 100
M. Nazareth 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiryat Gat M. Nazareth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiryat Gat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiryat Gat's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

M. Nazareth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 18 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Kiryat Gat went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kiryat Gat VS M. Nazareth
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiryat Gat

(Home)
16 Oct
SC Ashdod
0 : 0
Kiryat Gat
09 Oct
Kiryat Gat
2 : 2
Kiryat Yam
01 Oct
Yehuda
2 : 1
Kiryat Gat
28 Sept
Kiryat Gat
0 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
17 Sept
H. Raanana
0 : 1
Kiryat Gat
Page 1 of 4

M. Nazareth

(Away)
16 Oct
M. Nazareth
0 : 4
Hapoel Kfar Saba
09 Oct
M. Herzliya
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
01 Oct
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Ironi Modiin
24 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
1 : 0
M. Nazareth
17 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 0
Hapoel Akko
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
2 Yehuda 10 7 3 0 21:8 24
3 H. Ironi Rishon 10 6 3 1 19:10 21
4 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 10 6 2 2 23:18 20
5 Kiryat Yam 10 6 1 3 27:16 19
6 Hapoel Afula 10 5 3 2 18:13 18
7 H. Raanana 10 5 1 4 21:14 16
8 Maccabi Bnei Raina 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
9 MS Kafr Qasim 10 4 1 5 13:11 13
10 Ironi Modiin 10 3 2 5 15:17 11
11 Kiryat Gat 10 2 4 4 9:11 10
12 M. Nazareth 10 3 1 6 10:17 10
13 M. Herzliya 10 2 3 5 9:13 9
14 Hapoel Kfar Saba 10 3 0 7 15:24 9
15 Maccabi Jaffa 10 2 0 8 7:22 6
16 Hapoel Akko 10 0 1 9 0:27 1
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)