Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Yavne

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Mishali E.
27'
Tzahi I.
63' Event
Towaba Y.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South 2025/2026 game between Kiryat Gat and Maccabi Yavne finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kiryat Gat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kiryat Gat
30%
Draws
47%
Maccabi Yavne
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maccabi Yavne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kiryat Gat carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Maccabi Yavne a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kiryat Gat Clean Sheet 20%
Maccabi Yavne Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiryat Gat Maccabi Yavne
Matches Played 20 20
Wins 12 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.95 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Liga Alef South
Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Yavne
2:1
Sep 26, 2025 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Yavne vs Kiryat Gat
0:2
Jan 24, 2020 Liga Alef South
Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Yavne
0:5
Sep 20, 2019 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Yavne vs Kiryat Gat
1:0
Mar 15, 2019 Liga Alef South
Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Yavne
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kiryat Gat Compare

Top Goalscorer Mishali E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Towaba Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Maccabi Yavne Compare

Top Goalscorer Navon S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiryat Gat 24 / 100
Maccabi Yavne 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiryat Gat Maccabi Yavne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Yavne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiryat Gat's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Maccabi Yavne let in goals in 70% of their last 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Kiryat Gat remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kiryat Gat VS Maccabi Yavne
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiryat Gat

(Home)
01 Oct
Yehuda
2 : 1
Kiryat Gat
28 Sept
Kiryat Gat
0 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
17 Sept
H. Raanana
0 : 1
Kiryat Gat
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 0
Kiryat Gat
07 Sept
Kiryat Gat
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
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Maccabi Yavne

(Away)
01 Oct
Maccabi Yavne
5 : 1
Ironi Beit Shemesh
24 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Yavne
18 Sept
Maccabi Yavne
0 : 0
H. Herzliya
09 Sept
FC Dimona
1 : 0
Maccabi Yavne
03 Sept
Maccabi Yavne
3 : 0
Hapoel Azor
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiryat Gat 21 17 4 0 53:18 55
2 Jerusalem FC 22 11 4 7 45:29 37
3 FC Dimona 22 11 4 7 29:30 37
4 Maccabi Yavne 22 10 6 6 42:28 36
5 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 22 10 5 7 27:27 35
6 Tzeirei Tira 21 10 3 8 33:24 33
7 Shimshon Tel Aviv 22 8 6 8 28:28 30
8 Beitar Yavne 22 9 3 10 27:34 30
9 Kfar Saba 1928 22 7 8 7 28:31 29
10 Holon Yermiyahu 22 6 6 10 30:33 24
11 Hapoel Marmorek 22 6 6 10 20:34 24
12 Hapoel Azor 21 5 8 8 17:20 23
13 H. Herzliya 22 5 7 10 22:36 22
14 Ramat Hasharon 22 5 5 12 24:43 19
15 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 21 7 7 7 37:35 16
16 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 22 3 6 13 28:40 15
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)