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Kiryat Yam vs Hapoel Kfar Saba

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Farada L.
62' Event
Khalifa R.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League 2025/2026 game between Kiryat Yam and Hapoel Kfar Saba finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kiryat Yam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kiryat Yam
15%
Draws
34%
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kiryat Yam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kiryat Yam come out ahead of Hapoel Kfar Saba on wins alone.
  • Kiryat Yam are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Leumit League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Kiryat Yam have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kiryat Yam Clean Sheet 16%
Hapoel Kfar Saba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiryat Yam Hapoel Kfar Saba
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Leumit League
Kiryat Yam vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
2:0
Feb 6, 2026 Leumit League
Kiryat Yam vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Kiryat Yam
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kiryat Yam Compare

Top Goalscorer Farada L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khalifa R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Hapoel Kfar Saba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiryat Yam 84 / 100
Hapoel Kfar Saba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiryat Yam Hapoel Kfar Saba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiryat Yam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiryat Yam scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Hapoel Kfar Saba has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Kiryat Yam stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kiryat Yam VS Hapoel Kfar Saba
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiryat Yam

(Home)
24 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 3
Kiryat Yam
17 Sept
Kiryat Yam
3 : 2
Ironi Modiin
10 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
4 : 2
Kiryat Yam
06 Sept
Kiryat Yam
5 : 0
Hapoel Akko
30 Aug
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 2
Kiryat Yam
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Kfar Saba

(Away)
17 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
4 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 0
Kiryat Gat
06 Sept
H. Raanana
6 : 1
Hapoel Kfar Saba
30 Aug
M. Herzliya
0 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
23 Aug
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1 : 4
Ironi Modiin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Petah Tikva 37 18 13 6 77:42 67
2 Hapoel Ramat Gan 37 18 10 9 59:41 64
3 M. Herzliya 37 17 11 9 55:44 62
4 Yehuda 37 15 12 10 46:44 57
5 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 37 16 8 13 67:63 56
6 Kiryat Yam 37 15 9 13 48:43 50
7 Hapoel Kfar Saba 37 13 11 13 52:50 50
8 H. Ironi Rishon 37 13 10 14 50:54 49
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