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Kitara vs Calvary - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 The Royals Park, Butema
Kitara Logo

Kitara

0 - 0
FT
Calvary Logo

Calvary

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Kitara and Calvary finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Kitara
35%
Draws
27%
Calvary
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kitara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Calvary haven't matched Kitara's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kitara a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Kitara Clean Sheet 68%
Calvary Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitara Calvary
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 11 8
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 1.54 0.52
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Premier League
Kitara vs Calvary
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Premier League
Calvary vs Kitara
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitara 50 / 100
Calvary 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitara Calvary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kitara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kitara found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Kitara remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Calvary has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kitara VS Calvary
1.13 Goals Scored 0.86
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.43
75% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kitara

(Home)
07 Oct
Kitara
1 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
17 Sept
Express FC
1 : 1
Kitara
12 Sept
Kitara
2 : 0
Mogadishu City
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
29 Aug
Villa
1 : 1
Kitara
Page 1 of 6

Calvary

(Away)
08 Oct
Calvary
2 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
04 Oct
Young Elephant Academy
2 : 0
Calvary
23 May
Calvary
2 : 0
NEC FC
19 May
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Calvary
12 May
Uganda Revenue
1 : 1
Calvary
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League (Main)