Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kitara vs Entebbe UPPC

Uganda Uganda

Premier League The Royals Park, Butema
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Wahab G.
82' Event
Living K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Kitara and Entebbe UPPC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kitara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kitara
35%
Draws
42%
Entebbe UPPC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Entebbe UPPC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kitara come out ahead of Entebbe UPPC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Entebbe UPPC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Kitara have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Kitara Clean Sheet 22%
Entebbe UPPC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitara Entebbe UPPC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.55 1
Goals Conceded 0.65 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Premier League
Kitara vs Entebbe UPPC
2:0
Dec 18, 2025 Premier League
Entebbe UPPC vs Kitara
1:0
Mar 17, 2025 Uganda Cup
Entebbe UPPC vs Kitara
1:2
May 18, 2024 Premier League
Kitara vs Entebbe UPPC
3:0
Sep 29, 2023 Premier League
Entebbe UPPC vs Kitara
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kitara Compare

Top Goalscorer Wahab G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Living K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Entebbe UPPC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitara 24 / 100
Entebbe UPPC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitara Entebbe UPPC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Entebbe UPPC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kitara scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kitara stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Entebbe UPPC has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kitara VS Entebbe UPPC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kitara

(Home)
30 May
Kitara
2 : 1
Villa
23 May
Kitara
2 : 2
Police
19 May
BUL
1 : 1
Kitara
15 May
Vipers
1 : 1
Kitara
12 May
Express FC
3 : 2
Kitara
Page 1 of 7

Entebbe UPPC

(Away)
23 May
Entebbe UPPC
4 : 0
BUL
19 May
Police
1 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
12 May
Maroons
0 : 0
Entebbe UPPC
07 May
Entebbe UPPC
2 : 0
UPDF FC
29 Apr
Entebbe UPPC
2 : 0
Calvary
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)