Sport Picks
Kitara vs Mbarara City Prediction & H2H Stats
Uganda
Premier League Hoima City Stadium, Hoima 
AI Match Summary
Kitara host Mbarara City in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Mbarara City have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Kitara have conceded 0.7 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, Kitara have won 2 to Mbarara City's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.88, favoring Kitara. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mbarara City haven't matched Kitara's recent run of results.
- Kitara are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kitara | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kitara went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Kitara's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Mbarara City has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Kitara
(Home)Mbarara City
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Villa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 10 |
| 4 | Blacks Power | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Police | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Lugazi | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 8 | UPDF FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 9 | Express FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 10 | Kampala City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 11 | Vipers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Maroons | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Uganda Revenue | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 14 | Kitara | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 15 | Mbarara City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | 2 |
| 16 | Kataka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 17 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 18 | Ntugasaze | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
