Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kitara vs Uganda Revenue

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Hoima City Stadium, Hoima
Thu, Sep 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kitara host Uganda Revenue in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Kitara at 1.59 goals for, 0.72 against; Uganda Revenue at 0.83 for, 1.07 against. Head-to-head, Kitara have won 2 to Uganda Revenue's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 10, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.06, favoring Kitara. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kitara
30%
Draws
27%
Uganda Revenue
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kitara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Kitara have won more games recently than Uganda Revenue.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kitara taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Kitara Clean Sheet 20%
Uganda Revenue Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitara Uganda Revenue
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 11 11
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.59 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Premier League
Kitara vs Uganda Revenue
0:0
Feb 19, 2026 Premier League
Kitara vs Uganda Revenue
1:1
Dec 4, 2025 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Kitara
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 Premier League
Kitara vs Uganda Revenue
1:0
Nov 1, 2024 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Kitara
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitara 42 / 100
Uganda Revenue 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitara Uganda Revenue

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kitara scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Kitara remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Uganda Revenue has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kitara VS Uganda Revenue
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kitara

(Home)
17 Sept
Express FC
1 : 1
Kitara
12 Sept
Kitara
2 : 0
Mogadishu City
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
29 Aug
Villa
1 : 1
Kitara
30 May
Kitara
2 : 1
Villa
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Uganda Revenue

(Away)
15 Sept
NEC FC
4 : 1
Uganda Revenue
04 Sept
Uganda Revenue
0 : 1
Villa
30 Aug
Maroons
1 : 2
Uganda Revenue
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Uganda Revenue
0 : 0
Kampala City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 NEC FC 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Villa 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
4 Blacks Power 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Police 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
6 Entebbe UPPC 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Lugazi 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
8 UPDF FC 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Express FC 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
10 Kampala City 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
11 Vipers 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
12 Maroons 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
13 Uganda Revenue 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Kitara 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
15 Mbarara City 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
16 Kataka 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
17 Kigezi HomeBoyz 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Ntugasaze 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)