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Kitchener-Waterloo United FC vs Derby City Rovers

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2015
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AI Match Summary

Kitchener-Waterloo United FC in this USL Premier Development League 2015 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kitchener-Waterloo United FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
6%
Draws
4%
Derby City Rovers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kitchener-Waterloo United FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kitchener-Waterloo United FC lately — more wins on the board than Derby City Rovers.
  • Win probability leans Kitchener-Waterloo United FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular USL Premier Development League 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kitchener-Waterloo United FC have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC Clean Sheet 20%
Derby City Rovers Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitchener-Waterloo United FC Derby City Rovers
Matches Played 34 40
Wins 23 5
Draws 3 6
Losses 8 29
Goals Scored 1.33 0.63
Goals Conceded 2 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2017 USL League Two
Derby City Rovers vs Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
0:1
Jun 7, 2017 USL League Two
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC vs Derby City Rovers
3:0
May 20, 2017 USL League Two
Derby City Rovers vs Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
0:4
Jun 21, 2016 USL League Two
Derby City Rovers vs Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
1:2
Jun 10, 2016 USL League Two
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC vs Derby City Rovers
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitchener-Waterloo United FC 85 / 100
Derby City Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC Derby City Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby City Rovers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 40 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Derby City Rovers lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Kitchener-Waterloo United FC found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Kitchener-Waterloo United FC VS Derby City Rovers
1.33 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kitchener-Waterloo United FC

(Home)
21 Jul
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
0 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
12 Jul
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
2 : 1
Dayton
05 Jul
Flint City
3 : 2
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
02 Jul
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
0 : 1
Flint City
28 Jun
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
4 : 0
West Virginia
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Derby City Rovers

(Away)
13 Jul
Derby City Rovers
1 : 6
Lansing United
10 Jul
Derby City Rovers
1 : 14
Flint City
07 Jul
Lansing United
3 : 0
Derby City Rovers
01 Jul
Derby City Rovers
2 : 5
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
27 Jun
Derby City Rovers
0 : 6
Dayton
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