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Kitzbuhel vs Hohenems

Austria Austria

Regionalliga West 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Stradins D.
61' Event
Sagno W.
86' Event
Unal M. C.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga West 2025/2026 game between Kitzbuhel and Hohenems finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kitzbuhel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Kitzbuhel
28%
Draws
22%
Hohenems
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kitzbuhel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Kitzbuhel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Kitzbuhel taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kitzbuhel Clean Sheet 10%
Hohenems Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitzbuhel Hohenems
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.63 3
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Regionalliga West
Kitzbuhel vs Hohenems
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Regionalliga West
Hohenems vs Kitzbuhel
2:0
Nov 16, 2024 Regionalliga West
Kitzbuhel vs Hohenems
1:2
Aug 2, 2024 Regionalliga West
Hohenems vs Kitzbuhel
2:0
Apr 22, 2019 Regionalliga West
Hohenems vs Kitzbuhel
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kitzbuhel Compare

Top Goalscorer Stradins D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sagno W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hohenems Compare

Top Goalscorer Unal M. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitzbuhel 47 / 100
Hohenems 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitzbuhel Hohenems

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hohenems let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Kitzbuhel's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Kitzbuhel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kitzbuhel VS Hohenems
1.63 Goals Scored 3
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wacker Innsbruck32282288:1886
2Kuchl32212961:4365
3SC Imst32197671:3864
4Seekirchen32194983:5161
5Dornbirn321641262:4652
6Bischofshofen321631361:4951
7Hohenems321211960:5247
8Kitzbuhel321441446:4446
9Reichenau321431544:5545
10Schwaz321351457:5644
11Wals-Grunau321181356:6541
12FC Lustenau32971649:7834
13Johann32951845:5832
14Pinzgau Saalfelden32761926:6027
15Altach U2132761935:7527
16Kufstein325101733:5525
17Lauterach32652146:8023