Sport Picks
Kivioli Irbis vs Vandra Vaprus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Esiliiga 2015 
Match Events
12'
12'
45'
45'
(Penalty)
47'
47'
AI Match Summary
Kivioli Irbis in this Esiliiga 2015 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kivioli Irbis.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kivioli Irbis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kivioli Irbis have won more games recently than Vandra Vaprus.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Kivioli Irbis taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Kivioli Irbis Clean Sheet 17%
Vandra Vaprus Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kivioli Irbis | Vandra Vaprus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2015 Esiliiga
Kivioli Irbis vs Vandra Vaprus
5:1
Sep 5, 2015 Esiliiga
Vandra Vaprus vs Kivioli Irbis
0:0
May 23, 2015 Esiliiga
Vandra Vaprus vs Kivioli Irbis
0:2
Apr 19, 2015 Esiliiga
Kivioli Irbis vs Vandra Vaprus
0:3
Sep 21, 2014 Esiliiga
Kivioli Irbis vs Vandra Vaprus
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kivioli Irbis 84 / 100
Vandra Vaprus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kivioli Irbis Vandra Vaprus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kivioli Irbis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kivioli Irbis scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Vandra Vaprus let in goals in 89% of their last 36 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Vandra Vaprus lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Vandra Vaprus
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Kivioli Irbis
(Home) 03 Aug
Marjamaa
: Kivioli Irbis
08 Nov
Kivioli Irbis
1 : 0 Tallinna Kalev
01 Nov
Kivioli Irbis
3 : 0 Rakvere
25 Oct
Flora Tallinn U21
3 : 1 Kivioli Irbis
18 Oct
Kivioli Irbis
1 : 4 FCI Tallinn II
Page 1 of 6
08 Nov
Kivioli Irbis
1 : 0 Tallinna Kalev
01 Nov
Kivioli Irbis
3 : 0 Rakvere
18 Oct
Kivioli Irbis
1 : 4 FCI Tallinn II
03 Oct
Kivioli Irbis
3 : 4 Levadia Tallinn II
19 Sept
Kivioli Irbis
2 : 3 Santos Tartu
Page 1 of 4
Vandra Vaprus
(Away) 28 Jun
Tallinna FC Zapoos
6 : 0 Vandra Vaprus
11 Aug
Tulevik
4 : 1 Vandra Vaprus
14 Nov
Vandra Vaprus
2 : 2 Laanemaa Haapsalu
06 Nov
Kalju U21
3 : 2 Vandra Vaprus
31 Oct
Legion U21
1 : 4 Vandra Vaprus
Page 1 of 8
28 Jun
Tallinna FC Zapoos
6 : 0 Vandra Vaprus
11 Aug
Tulevik
4 : 1 Vandra Vaprus
06 Nov
Kalju U21
3 : 2 Vandra Vaprus
31 Oct
Legion U21
1 : 4 Vandra Vaprus
23 Oct
Tallinna Kalev U21
5 : 2 Vandra Vaprus
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flora Tallinn U21 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 76:40 | 72 |
| 2 | Levadia Tallinn II | 36 | 22 | 5 | 9 | 118:57 | 71 |
| 3 | FCI Tallinn II | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 108:48 | 66 |
| 4 | Rakvere | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 52:53 | 47 |
| 5 | Kalju II | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 50:56 | 46 |
| 6 | Tallinna Kalev | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 47:59 | 46 |
| 7 | Kivioli Irbis | 36 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 60:87 | 44 |
| 8 | Santos Tartu | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 56:83 | 42 |
| 9 | Vandra Vaprus | 36 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 43:80 | 38 |
| 10 | Kuressaare | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 48:95 | 37 |
Relegation - Esiliiga 2015 (Relegation)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2016 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2015 (Relegation)
