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Kiwi vs Erakor Golden Star

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Sale J.
58' Event
Pepeta
61'
Sub
Tasso J. In: Ruben J.
Out: Tasso J.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2019 game between Kiwi and Erakor Golden Star finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erakor Golden Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Kiwi
20%
Draws
36%
Erakor Golden Star
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kiwi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kiwi come out ahead of Erakor Golden Star on wins alone.
  • Model gives Erakor Golden Star a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Kiwi Clean Sheet 10%
Erakor Golden Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiwi Erakor Golden Star
Matches Played 21 9
Wins 9 3
Draws 0 2
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 2.48 1.67
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2019 OFC Champions League
Kiwi vs Erakor Golden Star
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kiwi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Erakor Golden Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Pepeta
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruben J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiwi 10 / 100
Erakor Golden Star 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiwi Erakor Golden Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erakor Golden Star Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kiwi scored in 67% of their last 21 outings.

Erakor Golden Star's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 9 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Kiwi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kiwi VS Erakor Golden Star
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiwi

(Home)
01 Mar
Ba
5 : 1
Kiwi
26 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 13
Team Wellington
23 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 2
Erakor Golden Star
02 Feb
Lotohaapai
1 : 9
Kiwi
30 Jan
Kiwi
4 : 3
Pago Youth
Page 1 of 5

Erakor Golden Star

(Away)
01 Mar
Erakor Golden Star
0 : 3
Team Wellington
26 Feb
Erakor Golden Star
1 : 1
Ba
23 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 2
Erakor Golden Star
18 Feb
Lossi
2 : 2
Erakor Golden Star
15 Feb
Erakor Golden Star
3 : 4
AS Dragon
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hienghene Sport 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Lae City 3 1 2 0 8:6 5
3 Tefana 3 0 2 1 6:7 2
4 Malampa Revivors 3 0 1 2 5:12 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Sport 3 2 1 0 12:4 7
2 Henderson Eels 3 2 0 1 15:8 6
3 Lautoka 3 1 1 1 12:8 4
4 Morobe Wawens 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 3 0 0 18:0 9
2 Ba 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Erakor Golden Star 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Kiwi 3 0 0 3 1:20 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 23:1 9
2 Magenta 3 2 0 1 14:3 6
3 Solomon Warriors 3 1 0 2 10:10 3
4 Tupapa 3 0 0 3 2:35 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)