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Kiyinda Boys vs Calvary - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kiyinda Boys host Calvary in the Big League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Kiyinda Boys at 1.55 goals for, 0.93 against; Calvary at 0.46 for, 0.93 against. Head-to-head, Kiyinda Boys have won 2 to Calvary's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 29, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.69 - 0.88) back Kiyinda Boys to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kiyinda Boys
20%
Draws
40%
Calvary
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kiyinda Boys carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kiyinda Boys taking it.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Kiyinda Boys Clean Sheet 20%
Calvary Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiyinda Boys Calvary
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.55 0.46
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2025 Big League
Calvary vs Kiyinda Boys
1:0
Dec 22, 2024 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Calvary
2:1
May 19, 2024 Big League
Calvary vs Kiyinda Boys
0:0
Dec 28, 2023 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Calvary
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiyinda Boys 42 / 100
Calvary 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiyinda Boys Calvary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kiyinda Boys scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Kiyinda Boys went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Calvary let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kiyinda Boys VS Calvary
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiyinda Boys

(Home)
01 Nov
Young Elephant Academy
1 : 2
Kiyinda Boys
25 Oct
Kiyinda Boys
2 : 0
SC Volcanoes
18 Oct
Rwenzori Lions
0 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
11 Oct
Kiyinda Boys
2 : 0
Pakwach Young Stars
04 Oct
Paidha Black Angels
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
Page 1 of 6

Calvary

(Away)
01 Nov
Calvary
1 : 0
Catda
18 Oct
Buwambo United
0 : 1
Calvary
11 Oct
Calvary
0 : 0
Amus College FC
08 Oct
Calvary
2 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
04 Oct
Young Elephant Academy
2 : 0
Calvary
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 6 5 0 1 8:5 15
2 Kiyinda Boys 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Catda 6 4 0 2 8:2 12
4 SC Volcanoes 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
5 Young Elephant Academy 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
6 Calvary 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
7 Amus College FC 5 3 1 1 9:1 10
8 Rwenzori Lions 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
9 Pakwach Young Stars 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
10 Iganga United 7 1 1 5 3:7 4
11 Onduparaka 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
12 Kaaro Karungi 7 0 3 4 2:13 3
13 Buwambo United 5 0 2 3 2:10 2
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)