Sport Picks

Uganda

Big League

Kiyinda Boys

6 - 1

Mbale Heroes

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Kiyinda Boys and Mbale Heroes finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kiyinda Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Kiyinda Boys

Draws

Mbale Heroes

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kiyinda Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Kiyinda Boys come out ahead of Mbale Heroes on wins alone.
Win probability leans Kiyinda Boys's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Kiyinda Boys Clean Sheet 68%

Mbale Heroes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kiyinda Boys	Mbale Heroes
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	6
Draws	6	5
Losses	12	19
Goals Scored	1.5	0.5
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Big League

Mbale Heroes vs Kiyinda Boys

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Dec 7, 2025 Big League

Kiyinda Boys vs Mbale Heroes

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 0 - 0

6:1

Jun 2, 2024 Big League

Kiyinda Boys vs Mbale Heroes

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

4:1

Dec 21, 2023 Big League

Mbale Heroes vs Kiyinda Boys

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiyinda Boys 95 / 100

Mbale Heroes 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kiyinda Boys Mbale Heroes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIY Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbale Heroes has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Mbale Heroes's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kiyinda Boys found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Kiyinda Boys VS Mbale Heroes

1.5 Goals Scored 0.5

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Blacks Power	30	16	7	7	35:18	55
2	Ntugasaze	30	14	11	5	42:22	53
3	Kataka	30	16	3	11	40:26	51
4	Kigezi HomeBoyz	30	14	9	7	36:22	51
5	Paidha Black Angels	30	15	7	8	33:23	50
6	Bunyaruguru	30	12	7	11	31:25	43
7	Young Elephant	30	12	6	12	44:40	42
8	Kiyinda Boys	30	12	6	12	40:31	40
9	Iganga United	30	11	5	14	30:33	38
10	Catda	30	9	10	11	24:32	37
11	Kaaro Karungi	30	10	8	12	26:30	36
12	Onduparaka	30	9	9	12	24:32	36
13	Nebbi Central	30	9	9	12	35:42	34
14	Bright Stars	30	7	11	12	25:31	32
15	Wakiso Giants	30	8	7	15	31:48	31
16	Mbale Heroes	30	6	5	19	14:67	17