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Kiyinda Boys vs Mbale Heroes

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Kiyinda Boys and Mbale Heroes finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kiyinda Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kiyinda Boys
15%
Draws
0%
Mbale Heroes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kiyinda Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kiyinda Boys come out ahead of Mbale Heroes on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kiyinda Boys's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Kiyinda Boys Clean Sheet 68%
Mbale Heroes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiyinda Boys Mbale Heroes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.33 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Big League
Mbale Heroes vs Kiyinda Boys
2:2
Dec 7, 2025 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Mbale Heroes
6:1
Jun 2, 2024 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Mbale Heroes
4:1
Dec 21, 2023 Big League
Mbale Heroes vs Kiyinda Boys
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiyinda Boys 95 / 100
Mbale Heroes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiyinda Boys Mbale Heroes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiyinda Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbale Heroes has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Mbale Heroes's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kiyinda Boys found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Kiyinda Boys VS Mbale Heroes
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiyinda Boys

(Home)
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
17 May
Kiyinda Boys
1 : 1
Kataka
09 May
Catda
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
03 May
Kiyinda Boys
2 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
Page 1 of 6

Mbale Heroes

(Away)
06 Jun
Mbale Heroes
2 : 6
Iganga United
24 May
Blacks Power
4 : 0
Mbale Heroes
17 May
Young Elephant
7 : 0
Mbale Heroes
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
Promotion - Premier League (Main)