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Kiyinda Boys vs Ntugasaze

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ntugasaze in this Big League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ntugasaze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Kiyinda Boys
15%
Draws
36%
Ntugasaze
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kiyinda Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Kiyinda Boys average 1.48 goals a game right now, well clear of Ntugasaze's 1.37.
  • Model gives Kiyinda Boys a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kiyinda Boys Clean Sheet 17%
Ntugasaze Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiyinda Boys Ntugasaze
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Ntugasaze
0:3
Sep 28, 2025 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Kiyinda Boys
0:0
Mar 9, 2025 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Ntugasaze
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Kiyinda Boys
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiyinda Boys 75 / 100
Ntugasaze 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiyinda Boys Ntugasaze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiyinda Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kiyinda Boys scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Ntugasaze lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Ntugasaze has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kiyinda Boys VS Ntugasaze
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiyinda Boys

(Home)
04 Oct
Paidha Black Angels
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
27 Sept
Kiyinda Boys
3 : 1
Onduparaka
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
17 May
Kiyinda Boys
1 : 1
Kataka
Page 1 of 6

Ntugasaze

(Away)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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