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Kiyovu vs Sunrise

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Leku A.
36' Event
Kirongozi R.
40' Event
Leku A.

AI Match Summary

Kiyovu in this Premier League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kiyovu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Kiyovu
20%
Draws
38%
Sunrise
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kiyovu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kiyovu have won more games recently than Sunrise.
  • Win probability leans Kiyovu's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Kiyovu Clean Sheet 20%
Sunrise Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiyovu Sunrise
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 13 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.15 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 0.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2024 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Sunrise
4:0
Nov 26, 2023 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Sunrise
0:0
May 21, 2023 Premier League
Sunrise vs Kiyovu
1:0
Oct 1, 2022 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Sunrise
1:2
Jun 17, 2021 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Sunrise
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kiyovu Compare

Top Goalscorer Leku A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kirongozi R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.36

Sunrise Compare

Avg xG / game 0.44
Avg xA / game 0.27

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiyovu 36 / 100
Sunrise 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiyovu Sunrise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiyovu's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sunrise conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Kiyovu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kiyovu VS Sunrise
1.13 Goals Scored 0.33
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.33
50% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiyovu

(Home)
15 Sept
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Bugesera
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0
Kiyovu
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
30 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Police
27 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Mukura Victory Sports
Page 1 of 7

Sunrise

(Away)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
11 May
Sunrise
3 : 1
Marines
04 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Sunrise
28 Apr
Sunrise
2 : 1
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 19 11 0 47:17 68
2 Rayon Sport 30 17 6 7 42:25 57
3 Musanze 30 16 5 9 34:24 53
4 Mukura Victory Sports 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
5 Kigali FC 30 12 9 9 26:25 45
6 Kiyovu 30 11 11 8 38:34 44
7 Police 30 12 3 15 35:34 39
8 Amagaju 30 10 9 11 30:31 39
9 Gasogi United 30 10 6 14 31:34 36
10 Gorilla 30 9 8 13 26:33 35
11 Marines 30 9 8 13 32:42 35
12 Muhazi United 30 7 12 11 21:29 33
13 Bugesera 30 7 11 12 37:35 32
14 Etincelles 30 8 8 14 35:44 32
15 Sunrise 30 9 5 16 25:40 32
16 Etoile de L'Est 30 9 4 17 20:39 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)