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KKP Bydgoszcz W vs Pogon Szczecin W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Michalczyk P.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Oleksiak P.
54' Event
Ratajczyk R.

AI Match Summary

Pogon Szczecin W in this Ekstraliga Women 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon Szczecin W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
KKP Bydgoszcz W
33%
Draws
40%
Pogon Szczecin W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pogon Szczecin W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • KKP Bydgoszcz W haven't matched Pogon Szczecin W's recent run of results.
  • Pogon Szczecin W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Ekstraliga Women 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
KKP Bydgoszcz W Clean Sheet 10%
Pogon Szczecin W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KKP Bydgoszcz W Pogon Szczecin W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 23
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 3 4.13
Goals Conceded 4 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 4.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Ekstraliga Women
KKP Bydgoszcz W vs Pogon Szczecin W
2:4
Nov 26, 2022 Polish Cup Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs KKP Bydgoszcz W
1:0
Oct 15, 2022 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs KKP Bydgoszcz W
5:0
May 7, 2022 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs KKP Bydgoszcz W
0:1
Jan 30, 2022 Club Friendly Women
KKP Bydgoszcz W vs Pogon Szczecin W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KKP Bydgoszcz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Oleksiak P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Glinka A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Pogon Szczecin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ratajczyk R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Laniewska K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.75
Avg xA / game 2.29

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KKP Bydgoszcz W 26 / 100
Pogon Szczecin W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KKP Bydgoszcz W Pogon Szczecin W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

KKP Bydgoszcz W found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Pogon Szczecin W has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.

KKP Bydgoszcz W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KKP Bydgoszcz W VS Pogon Szczecin W
3 Goals Scored 4.13
4 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GKS Katowice W22181348:1755
2Leczna W22164279:3052
3UKS SMS Lodz W22171462:2452
4UJ Krakow W22124641:3140
5Pogon Szczecin W22121942:3037
6Slask Wroclaw W221021046:3832
7Czarni Sosnowiec W2286836:2930
8AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22661025:3224
9Pogon Tczew W22531429:5618
10Medyk Konin W22431525:4915
11KKP Bydgoszcz W22341519:5413
12Czworka Radom W22311819:8110