Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KKS Kalisz vs Warta Poznan

Poland Poland

Division 2 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Kusztal P.
Assist: Walus F.
46'
Sub
Hirosawa T. In: Zawistowski N.
Out: Hirosawa T.
58'
Sub
Niedzielski J. In: Steblecki S.
Out: Niedzielski J.

AI Match Summary

Warta Poznan in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warta Poznan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
KKS Kalisz
40%
Draws
29%
Warta Poznan
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Warta Poznan lately — more wins on the board than KKS Kalisz.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
KKS Kalisz Clean Sheet 13%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KKS Kalisz Warta Poznan
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 5 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Division 2
KKS Kalisz vs Warta Poznan
0:2
Oct 31, 2025 Division 2
Warta Poznan vs KKS Kalisz
4:2
Feb 18, 2024 Club Friendly
Warta Poznan vs KKS Kalisz
0:0
Feb 9, 2023 Club Friendly
Warta Poznan vs KKS Kalisz
1:0
May 28, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Warta Poznan vs KKS Kalisz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KKS Kalisz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Warta Poznan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kusztal P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stefaniak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KKS Kalisz 31 / 100
Warta Poznan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KKS Kalisz Warta Poznan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KKS Kalisz scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Warta Poznan conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: KKS Kalisz remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KKS Kalisz VS Warta Poznan
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Unia Skierniewice34215869:4568
2Warta Poznan341713457:3764
3Ol. Grudziadz341810669:4264
4Podbeskidzie341771064:4358
5Slask Wroclaw II341671165:4955
6Sandecja Nowy S.341413754:4055
7Podhale Nowy Targ341314746:3553
8Chojniczanka3414101058:4752
9Rekord Bielsko-Biala3412101245:4846
10Stal Stalowa Wola341016856:4346
11Hutnik Krakow3412101247:4046
12Swit Szczecin341281451:5944
13R. Rzeszow3410121248:4742
14Kleczew341071747:6237
15Zaglebie Sosnowiec34971837:6134
16KKS Kalisz348101637:5534
17LKS Lodz II345101933:6425
18GKS Jastrzebie34072718:846