Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Klaipedos FM vs BFA Vilnius

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2023
Wed, May 31, 2023
1 - 2
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

105' Event
Urbanavicius K.
107' Event
Sungaila L.
116' Event
Urbanavicius K.

AI Match Summary

BFA Vilnius in this Lithuanian Cup 2023 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Klaipedos FM
20%
Draws
46%
BFA Vilnius
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFA Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BFA Vilnius lately — more wins on the board than Klaipedos FM.
  • BFA Vilnius are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • BFA Vilnius arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor BFA Vilnius, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Klaipedos FM Clean Sheet 13%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Klaipedos FM BFA Vilnius
Matches Played 9 31
Wins 3 16
Draws 0 5
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.22 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2023 Lithuanian Cup
Klaipedos FM vs BFA Vilnius
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Klaipedos FM Compare

Top Goalscorer Sungaila L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

BFA Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Urbanavicius K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Klaipedos FM 22 / 100
BFA Vilnius 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Klaipedos FM BFA Vilnius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Vilnius Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Klaipedos FM scored in 78% of their last 9 games.

BFA Vilnius's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Klaipedos FM stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Klaipedos FM VS BFA Vilnius
0 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Klaipedos FM

(Home)
19 May
Klaipedos FM
0 : 2
Dainava Alytus
28 Apr
Klaipedos FM
1 : 0
BE1 NFA
06 May
Klaipedos FM
2 : 3
Jonava
22 May
Klaipedos FM
1 : 4
Banga
05 May
AFK Vilnius
1 : 2
Klaipedos FM
Page 1 of 2

BFA Vilnius

(Away)
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Trivartis Vilnius 0
Navigatoriai Vilnius 8
Transinvest 5
Nevezis Kedainiai 1
Vova Vilnius 0
Marijampole City 3
FK Babrungas 0
Banga 3
Granitas Vilnius 1
Viltis Vilnius 2
Silute 0
Dziugas Telsiai 5
Neptunas 2
FK Panevezys 1
Ukmerge 0
Suduva 3
Garliava 1
BE1 NFA 2
FA Siauliai 2
Dainava Alytus 1
FK Atmosfera 0
FC Hegelmann 4
Ataka Vilnius 0
Riteriai 9
Klaipedos FM 3
Jonava 0
Fortuna Kaunas 0
BFA Vilnius 6
FK Dembava 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 6
AFK Vilnius 0
Zalgiris 6
1/8-finals
Navigatoriai Vilnius 0
Transinvest 3
Marijampole City 1
Banga 4
Viltis Vilnius 1
Dziugas Telsiai 6
Neptunas 0
Suduva 2
BE1 NFA 0
FA Siauliai 2
FC Hegelmann 0
Riteriai 3
Klaipedos FM 1
BFA Vilnius 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
Zalgiris 0
Quarter-finals
Transinvest 2
Banga 1
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Suduva 0
FA Siauliai 2
Riteriai 0
BFA Vilnius 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 5
Semi-finals
Transinvest 1
Dziugas Telsiai 0
FA Siauliai 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Final
Transinvest 2
FA Siauliai 1