Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Vaitkus H.
30'
30'
Gecas A.
(Penalty)
38'
38'
Gecas A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Klaipedos FM in this Lithuanian Cup 2023 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Klaipedos FM
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Jonava have won more games recently than Klaipedos FM.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Klaipedos FM taking it.
- Jonava arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Jonava, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Klaipedos FM Clean Sheet 19%
Jonava Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Klaipedos FM | Jonava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 0 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.44 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2025 Lithuanian Cup
Klaipedos FM vs Jonava
2:3
May 6, 2023 Lithuanian Cup
Klaipedos FM vs Jonava
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Klaipedos FM Compare
Top Goalscorer Vaitkus H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Jonava Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Klaipedos FM 36 / 100
Jonava 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Klaipedos FM Jonava
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Jonava conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Klaipedos FM scored in 78% of their last 9 outings.
Jonava's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Klaipedos FM VS Jonava
0 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Klaipedos FM
(Home) 19 May
Klaipedos FM
0 : 2 Dainava Alytus
28 Apr
Klaipedos FM
1 : 0 BE1 NFA
06 May
Klaipedos FM
2 : 3 Jonava
22 May
Klaipedos FM
1 : 4 Banga
05 May
AFK Vilnius
1 : 2 Klaipedos FM
Page 1 of 2
19 May
Klaipedos FM
0 : 2 Dainava Alytus
28 Apr
Klaipedos FM
1 : 0 BE1 NFA
06 May
Klaipedos FM
2 : 3 Jonava
22 May
Klaipedos FM
1 : 4 Banga
31 May
Klaipedos FM
1 : 2 BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 2
Jonava
(Away) 11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0 Jonava
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0 Dainava Alytus
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2 Jonava
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1 Siauliai 2
14 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1 Jonava
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0 Jonava
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2 Jonava
14 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1 Jonava
31 Jul
BE1 NFA
0 : 2 Jonava
18 Jul
FK Minija
2 : 1 Jonava
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Trivartis Vilnius 0
Navigatoriai Vilnius 8
Transinvest 5
Nevezis Kedainiai 1
Vova Vilnius 0
Marijampole City 3
FK Babrungas 0
Banga 3
Granitas Vilnius 1
Viltis Vilnius 2
Silute 0
Dziugas Telsiai 5
Neptunas 2
FK Panevezys 1
Ukmerge 0
Suduva 3
Garliava 1
BE1 NFA 2
FA Siauliai 2
Dainava Alytus 1
FK Atmosfera 0
FC Hegelmann 4
Ataka Vilnius 0
Riteriai 9
Klaipedos FM 3
Jonava 0
Fortuna Kaunas 0
BFA Vilnius 6
FK Dembava 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 6
AFK Vilnius 0
Zalgiris 6
1/8-finals
Navigatoriai Vilnius 0
Transinvest 3
Marijampole City 1
Banga 4
Viltis Vilnius 1
Dziugas Telsiai 6
Neptunas 0
Suduva 2
BE1 NFA 0
FA Siauliai 2
FC Hegelmann 0
Riteriai 3
Klaipedos FM 1
BFA Vilnius 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
Zalgiris 0
Quarter-finals
Transinvest 2
Banga 1
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Suduva 0
FA Siauliai 2
Riteriai 0
BFA Vilnius 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 5
Semi-finals
Transinvest 1
Dziugas Telsiai 0
FA Siauliai 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Final
Transinvest 2
FA Siauliai 1
