Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Klubi 04 vs EsPa

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup 2025 Bolt Arena, Helsinki
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Konttas V.
16' Event
Le Goff-Conan A.
19' Event
Pinomaa A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 8-2, with Klubi 04 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Klubi 04
15%
Draws
39%
EsPa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Klubi 04

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • EsPa haven't matched Klubi 04's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Klubi 04's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Klubi 04 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Klubi 04, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Klubi 04 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Klubi 04 Clean Sheet 20%
EsPa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Klubi 04 EsPa
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 2
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.64 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.47 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2025 Suomen Cup
Klubi 04 vs EsPa
8:2
Oct 1, 2016 Kakkonen Group B
EsPa vs Klubi 04
1:2
Jul 9, 2016 Kakkonen Group B
Klubi 04 vs EsPa
1:1
Aug 11, 2013 Kakkonen South
Klubi 04 vs EsPa
3:0
Jun 19, 2013 Kakkonen South
EsPa vs Klubi 04
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Klubi 04 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rippon L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Harden K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

EsPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinomaa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hadi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Klubi 04 42 / 100
EsPa 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Klubi 04 EsPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EsPa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Klubi 04 scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Solid form: Klubi 04 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Klubi 04 VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Klubi 04

(Home)
26 Sept
Klubi 04
2 : 1
JaPS
18 Sept
Haka
2 : 0
Klubi 04
12 Sept
Jippo
3 : 1
Klubi 04
07 Sept
Klubi 04
2 : 2
KaPa
30 Aug
SJK Akatemia
2 : 6
Klubi 04
Page 1 of 8

EsPa

(Away)
29 May
Klubi 04
8 : 2
EsPa
06 May
EsPa
1 : 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
09 Apr
EsPa 2
0 : 6
EsPa
16 Apr
EsPa
0 : 1
Honka
07 May
NuPS
2 : 1
EsPa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Gilla FC 2
Valtti 1
KelA Akatemia 0
Klubi 04 10
EsPa 2 0
EsPa 6
Malmin Ponnistajat 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 4
LPS 2
Keski-Uusimaa 1
GrIFK 1
Mariehamn 2
MuSa 3
Ilves 2 5
Tampere Utd 0
TPS 3
PoPo 2
Edustus IPS 0
KuPS Akatemia 4
JJK Jyvaskyla 3
Lahden Reipas 2
Lahti 1
Soho 0
Mikkelin 3
HJK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JaPS Akatemia 0
Kiffen 5
FC Futura 0
JaPS 7
Santa Claus 1
JS Hercules 4
PonPa 1
AC Oulu 3
VJS 2
EPS 0
Toukolan Teras 2
NJS 3
NuPS 0
HJS 2
Julkis- ja yksityisalojen 1
SalPa 2
ToBK 1
Poxyt 2
TiPS 0
PK-35 6
SJK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
EPS 2 1
Atlantis 4
HPS 0
KaPa 4
VPV 0
KPV Kokkola 10
JBK 0
RoPS Rovaniemi 1
MuurY 0
Jippo 6
Lahti/69 1
KTP 5
Huima / Urho 4
LAUTP 0
ToU 0
Haka 8
KeuPa 1
Union Plaani 2
Vaajakoski 4
PEPO 2
Toolon Taisto 1
JaPS 2 2
Gnistan/M35 0
Gnistan 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilves -
Polin Pallo 2
RiPS 5
LTU 0
Jazz Pori 3
OTP 1
VPS 2 8
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 2
GBK Kokkola 5
FC Kangasala 0
SalPa 2 2
Tampere Utd 3 0
TPV 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
NiemU 1
MyPa 0
Kyparamaki 0
HAPK 2
FC Kiisto Vaasa 0
OLS Oulu 2
SJK U21 0
SJK Akatemia 3
Honka 3 1
EBK 2
FC Kontu 0
Honka 9
Tuisku 0
Ekenas IF 6
Lasten 0
Inter Turku 4
VIFK 2
Jaro 3
HauPa 4
Kajaanin Haka 1
VJS 2 1
PuiU Helsinki 3
HIFK 3
Atlantis 2 2
Abo IFK 2
NoPS 0
MaPS 1
Pallo-Iirot 2
Harma 1
Tampere Utd 2 3
TP-T 0
VPS 5
1/32-finals
Gilla FC 0
Klubi 04 6
EsPa 1
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 0
LPS 0
Mariehamn 1
Ilves 2 1
TPS 3
PoPo 2
KuPS Akatemia 3
Lahden Reipas 0
Mikkelin 1
HJK -
TBD -
Kiffen 0
JaPS 6
JS Hercules 1
AC Oulu 5
VJS 2
NJS 0
HJS 2
SalPa 1
Poxyt 0
PK-35 3
SJK -
TBD -
Atlantis 2
KaPa 1
KPV Kokkola 2
RoPS Rovaniemi 1
Jippo 1
KTP 2
Huima / Urho 0
Haka 4
Union Plaani 2
Vaajakoski 0
JaPS 2 0
Gnistan 3
TBD -
Ilves -
RiPS 0
Jazz Pori 2
VPS 2 0
GBK Kokkola 1
SalPa 2 0
TPV 4
TBD -
KuPS -
NiemU 1
HAPK 2
OLS Oulu 4
SJK Akatemia 3
EBK 1
Honka 3
Ekenas IF 2
Inter Turku 1
Jaro 7
HauPa 0
PuiU Helsinki 0
HIFK 2
Abo IFK 4
Pallo-Iirot 6
Tampere Utd 2 1
VPS 2
1/16-finals
Klubi 04 8
EsPa 2
Mariehamn 3
TPS 2
KuPS Akatemia 1
Mikkelin 4
HJK 2
JaPS 1
AC Oulu 2
VJS 1
HJS 0
PK-35 1
SJK 3
Atlantis 2
KPV Kokkola 2
KTP 0
Haka 6
Union Plaani 0
Gnistan 3
Ilves 0
Jazz Pori 3
GBK Kokkola 2
TPV 0
KuPS 2
HAPK 1
OLS Oulu 4
Honka 0
Ekenas IF 1
Jaro 5
HIFK 0
Pallo-Iirot 1
VPS 5
1/8-finals
Klubi 04 4
Mariehamn 3
Mikkelin 0
HJK 1
AC Oulu 2
PK-35 1
SJK 7
KPV Kokkola 0
Haka 3
Gnistan 2
Jazz Pori 2
KuPS 6
OLS Oulu 0
Ekenas IF 1
Jaro 3
VPS 2
Quarter-finals
Klubi 04 0
HJK 4
AC Oulu 2
SJK 0
Haka 1
KuPS 2
Ekenas IF 2
Jaro 4
Semi-finals
HJK 1
AC Oulu 0
KuPS 2
Jaro 0
Final
HJK 1
KuPS 0