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Kluczevia Stargard vs Cartusia Kartuzy

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bak M.
78' Event
Abbott Z.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Pietrzyk K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Kluczevia Stargard and Cartusia Kartuzy finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kluczevia Stargard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kluczevia Stargard
6%
Draws
4%
Cartusia Kartuzy
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kluczevia Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kluczevia Stargard come out ahead of Cartusia Kartuzy on wins alone.
  • Kluczevia Stargard are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Kluczevia Stargard Clean Sheet 68%
Cartusia Kartuzy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kluczevia Stargard Cartusia Kartuzy
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Cartusia Kartuzy
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Kluczevia Stargard
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kluczevia Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Bak M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pietrzyk K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cartusia Kartuzy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kluczevia Stargard 95 / 100
Cartusia Kartuzy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kluczevia Stargard Cartusia Kartuzy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kluczevia Stargard scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Cartusia Kartuzy let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Kluczevia Stargard went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kluczevia Stargard VS Cartusia Kartuzy
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kluczevia Stargard

(Home)
01 Aug
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3
Kluczevia Stargard
25 Jul
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Polonia Slubice
18 Jul
Kluczevia Stargard
3 : 0
Warta Gorzow
11 Jul
Kluczevia Stargard
1 : 2
Legnica II
08 Jul
Swit Szczecin
3 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6

Cartusia Kartuzy

(Away)
30 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 2
Zawisza
22 May
Swinoujscie
0 : 0
Cartusia Kartuzy
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Luzino
3 : 0
Cartusia Kartuzy
09 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)