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KMKM vs Al Ittihad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Eisay E.
84' Event
Al Shadi R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Al Ittihad advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
KMKM
20%
Draws
58%
Al Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ittihad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ittihad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Al Ittihad taking it.
  • Al Ittihad arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ittihad, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
KMKM Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KMKM Al Ittihad
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 20
Draws 3 7
Losses 21 4
Goals Scored 0.62 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2021 CAF Champions League
Al Ittihad vs KMKM
2:0
Sep 12, 2021 CAF Champions League
KMKM vs Al Ittihad
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KMKM Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Al Ittihad Compare

Top Goalscorer Eisay E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Shadi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KMKM 10 / 100
Al Ittihad 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KMKM Al Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: KMKM scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Al Ittihad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

KMKM has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KMKM VS Al Ittihad
0 Goals Scored 2.25
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KMKM

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0
KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
24 Oct
Azam
7 : 0
KMKM
18 Oct
KMKM
0 : 2
Azam
26 Sept
KMKM
2 : 1
Port
Page 1 of 6

Al Ittihad

(Away)
24 May
Olympic Azzaweya
1 : 2
Al Ittihad
20 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
14 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 1
Asswehly
10 May
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Madina
07 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 0
Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
CI Kamsar 0
Hearts of Oak 2
TBD -
Wydad Athletic -
LPRC Oiler 4
ASKO Kara 2
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Sonabel Ouagadougou 0
Stade Malien 4
TBD -
Horoya -
US Gendarmerie 2
Le Messager Ngozi 1
TBD -
Al Ahly -
KMKM 0
Al Ittihad 4
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
AS Arta 1
Tusker 4
TBD -
Zamalek -
Mogadishu City 1
APR 2
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Bouenguidi 1
AS Maniema 3
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
AmaZulu 3
Big Bullets 2
TBD -
Mazembe -
Jwaneng Galaxy 2
Diplomates 1
TBD -
Simba -
Young Africans 0
Rivers United 2
Fasil Kenema 3
Al Hilal Omdurman 3
Teungueth 0
ASEC Mimosas 2
Akwa United 1
CR Belouizdad 2
UD Songo 1
Otoho d'Oyo 2
Fovu Baham 2
Petro Atletico 2
Loto 1
Nouadhibou 3
Fortune 3
ES Setif 4
Sagrada 1
Platinum 0
Royal Leopards 2
Zesco 2
Express FC 2
Al Merreikh 2
Akonangui 0
Zanaco 3
Final
Hearts of Oak 2
Wydad Athletic 6
LPRC Oiler 0
Raja Casablanca 4
Stade Malien 1
Horoya 3
US Gendarmerie 2
Al Ahly 7
Al Ittihad 0
Esperance Tunis 1
Tusker 0
Zamalek 5
APR 1
Etoile Sahel 5
AS Maniema 2
Mamelodi Sundowns 4
AmaZulu 1
Mazembe 1
Jwaneng Galaxy 3
Simba 3
Rivers United 1
Al Hilal Omdurman 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
CR Belouizdad 3
Otoho d'Oyo 2
Petro Atletico 4
Nouadhibou 3
ES Setif 3
Sagrada 3
Royal Leopards 2
Al Merreikh 4
Zanaco 2