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Knockbreda vs Ards

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
40' Event
53' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Knockbreda and Ards finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ards.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Knockbreda
15%
Draws
49%
Ards
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ards carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ards a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Knockbreda Clean Sheet 10%
Ards Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Knockbreda Ards
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Knockbreda vs Ards
0:5
Apr 9, 2024 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Ards
0:3
Feb 17, 2024 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Knockbreda
1:2
Nov 11, 2023 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Knockbreda
1:1
Sep 2, 2023 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Ards
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Knockbreda 10 / 100
Ards 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Knockbreda Ards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ards Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Ards has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Difficult form: Ards registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Knockbreda's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Knockbreda VS Ards
0 Goals Scored 1.25
5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Knockbreda

(Home)
27 Jun
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Bangor FC
03 Feb
Loughgall
2 : 0
Knockbreda
22 Nov
Wakehurst
2 : 4
Knockbreda
12 Aug
Newry City
3 : 0
Knockbreda
19 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Ards
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Ards

(Away)
26 Sept
Ards
0 : 1
Strabane Athletic
19 Sept
Moyola
0 : 0
Ards
12 Sept
Ards
1 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
04 Sept
Annagh
2 : 1
Ards
28 Aug
Ards
0 : 3
Queens University
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