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Knockbreda vs Ballinamallard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Murphy M.
62' Event
Crawford C.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship 2023/2024 game between Knockbreda and Ballinamallard finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Knockbreda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Knockbreda
20%
Draws
58%
Ballinamallard
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ballinamallard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ballinamallard carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Ballinamallard taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ballinamallard have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Knockbreda Clean Sheet 10%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Knockbreda Ballinamallard
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 7
Draws 3 8
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.03 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2024 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Ballinamallard
2:0
Feb 3, 2024 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Knockbreda
6:1
Nov 4, 2023 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Ballinamallard
1:2
Aug 19, 2023 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Knockbreda
3:0
Apr 15, 2023 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Knockbreda
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Knockbreda Compare

Top Goalscorer Murphy M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crawford C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Ballinamallard Compare

Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Knockbreda 10 / 100
Ballinamallard 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Knockbreda Ballinamallard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballinamallard Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ballinamallard conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Knockbreda found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Knockbreda remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Knockbreda VS Ballinamallard
0 Goals Scored 1.13
5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Knockbreda

(Home)
27 Jun
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Bangor FC
03 Feb
Loughgall
2 : 0
Knockbreda
22 Nov
Wakehurst
2 : 4
Knockbreda
12 Aug
Newry City
3 : 0
Knockbreda
19 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Ards
Page 1 of 6

Ballinamallard

(Away)
03 Oct
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Ards
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Ballyclare 38 18 7 13 73:60 61
8 Newington FC 38 16 4 18 65:68 52
9 Ballinamallard 38 15 6 17 51:51 51
10 Ards 38 9 10 19 60:69 37
11 Dergview 38 6 9 23 41:79 27
12 Knockbreda 38 5 3 30 34:100 18
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2023/2024 (Relegation)