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Knockbreda vs Crusaders

World World

Club Friendly 2024 Breda Park, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

' Event
Own Goal
' Event
Bond K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Knockbreda and Crusaders finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crusaders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Knockbreda
15%
Draws
57%
Crusaders
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Crusaders carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Crusaders taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Crusaders have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Knockbreda Clean Sheet 10%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Knockbreda Crusaders
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2025 Irish Cup
Knockbreda vs Crusaders
0:3
Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Knockbreda vs Crusaders
0:2
Jul 30, 2022 Club Friendly
Knockbreda vs Crusaders
2:4
May 8, 2021 Irish Cup
Knockbreda vs Crusaders
0:5
Sep 1, 2015 Irish League Cup
Crusaders vs Knockbreda
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Knockbreda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Bond K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.01
Avg xA / game 1.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Knockbreda 10 / 100
Crusaders 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Knockbreda Crusaders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crusaders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Crusaders conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Away concern: Crusaders has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Knockbreda scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Knockbreda VS Crusaders
0 Goals Scored 1.63
5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Knockbreda

(Home)
27 Jun
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Bangor FC
03 Feb
Loughgall
2 : 0
Knockbreda
22 Nov
Wakehurst
2 : 4
Knockbreda
12 Aug
Newry City
3 : 0
Knockbreda
19 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Ards
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Crusaders

(Away)
26 Sept
Crusaders
2 : 1
Bangor FC
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
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