Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Montgomery J.
90'
90'
McDermott A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Knockbreda advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Knockbreda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
0%
/ Low Confidence
- Knockbreda carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives St. Marys a 0% chance of winning this.
- Knockbreda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Knockbreda, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Knockbreda Clean Sheet 16%
St. Marys Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Knockbreda | St. Marys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 8 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 21 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.58 | 3.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 7, 2023 Irish Cup
Knockbreda vs St. Marys
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Knockbreda Compare
Top Goalscorer Montgomery J.
1 Goals Assists Leader McDermott A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
St. Marys Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Knockbreda 19 / 100
St. Marys 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Knockbreda St. Marys
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Marys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St. Marys let in goals in 100% of their last 8 matches.
Difficult form: St. Marys registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Knockbreda found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).
Scoring Trends
Knockbreda VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Knockbreda
(Home) 27 Jun
Knockbreda
0 : 5 Bangor FC
03 Feb
Loughgall
2 : 0 Knockbreda
22 Nov
Wakehurst
2 : 4 Knockbreda
12 Aug
Newry City
3 : 0 Knockbreda
19 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 5 Ards
Page 1 of 7
27 Jun
Knockbreda
0 : 5 Bangor FC
19 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 5 Ards
04 Jan
Knockbreda
0 : 3 Crusaders
30 Nov
Knockbreda
3 : 0 Banbridge
23 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 2 Crusaders
Page 1 of 4
St. Marys
(Away) 07 Jan
Knockbreda
2 : 0 St. Marys
17 Aug
St. Marys
1 : 3 East Belfast
19 Aug
Bryansburn
3 : 1 St. Marys
01 Oct
St. Marys
4 : 5 Oxford Stars
07 Nov
Ards Rangers
4 : 1 St. Marys
Page 1 of 2
07 Jan
Knockbreda
2 : 0 St. Marys
19 Aug
Bryansburn
3 : 1 St. Marys
07 Nov
Ards Rangers
4 : 1 St. Marys
22 Aug
Fivemiletown
2 : 3 St. Marys
08 Nov
Foundry
6 : 1 St. Marys
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Dundela 0
Cliftonville 5
Coleraine 3
Loughgall 1
Knockbreda 2
St. Marys 0
Dungannon 3
Ards 1
Bangor FC 4
Tandragee 0
Crusaders 6
Dergview 0
Portadown 2
Banbridge 0
Moyola 0
Glentoran 2
Ballinamallard 1
Glenavon 2
Newry City 1
Harland & Wolff 2
Larne 3
Crumlin United 0
Linfield 3
Warrenpoint 0
Institute 4
Annagh 0
Ballyclare 1
Dollingstown 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Ballymena 2
Newington FC 2
Ballymoney 1
1/8-finals
Cliftonville 3
Coleraine 2
Knockbreda 1
Dungannon 2
Bangor FC 1
Crusaders 2
Portadown 0
Glentoran 3
Glenavon 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 2
Linfield 1
Institute 0
Ballyclare 1
Ballymena 4
Newington FC 1
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Crusaders 1
Glentoran 0
Harland & Wolff 0
Larne 1
Ballyclare 1
Ballymena 3
Semi-finals
Dungannon 0
Crusaders 1
Larne 0
Ballymena 2
Final
Crusaders 4
Ballymena 0
