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Knokke vs St. Truiden

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2025/2026 Burgemeester Graaf Leopold Lippens Park, Knokke
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Pierre N.
37'
Diallo S.
49' Event
Diriken A.

AI Match Summary

St. Truiden in this Belgian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Knokke
15%
Draws
42%
St. Truiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Knokke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Knokke have won more games recently than St. Truiden.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Knokke have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Truiden, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Knokke Clean Sheet 15%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Knokke St. Truiden
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 19 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.87 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2025 Belgian Cup
Knokke vs St. Truiden
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Knokke Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

St. Truiden Compare

Top Goalscorer Diriken A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Knokke 35 / 100
St. Truiden 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Knokke St. Truiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Truiden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Knokke scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: St. Truiden conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

St. Truiden lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Knokke VS St. Truiden
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Knokke

(Home)
27 Sept
Knokke
2 : 5
RFC Seraing
20 Sept
Knokke
3 : 2
Belisia Bilzen
13 Sept
Cercle Brugge 2
2 : 1
Knokke
05 Sept
Thes Sport
2 : 0
Knokke
30 Aug
Knokke
3 : 0
Heist
Page 1 of 6

St. Truiden

(Away)
20 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 2
Westerlo
12 Sept
SK Beveren
2 : 0
St. Truiden
05 Sept
St. Truiden
4 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
02 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4
St. Truiden
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
RFC Liege 0
Charleroi 1
KV Mechelen 2
Lierse SK 1
RFC Seraing 1
Leuven 3
Club Brugge 6
Eendracht Aalst 1
Dender 4
OC Charleroi 2
SK Beveren 1
St. Liege 2
Tubize-Braine 0
Royale Union SG 3
Belisia Bilzen 1
Waregem 4
Genk 3
RWDM Brussels 0
Ninove 0
Anderlecht 2
Cercle Brugge 1
Kortrijk 0
Gent 5
Patro Eisden 0
Antwerp 3
Eupen 1
Knokke 0
St. Truiden 1
Beerschot VA 3
Westerlo 2
Heist 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
1/8-finals
Charleroi 2
KV Mechelen 0
Leuven 1
Club Brugge 2
Dender 3
St. Liege 2
Royale Union SG 2
Waregem 1
Genk 1
Anderlecht 3
Cercle Brugge 1
Gent 3
Antwerp 4
St. Truiden 3
Beerschot VA 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
Quarter-finals
Charleroi 2
Club Brugge 0
Dender 0
Royale Union SG 2
Anderlecht 1
Gent 0
Antwerp 2
RAAL La Louviere 1
Semi-finals
Charleroi 1
Royale Union SG 4
Anderlecht 4
Antwerp 1
Final
Royale Union SG 3
Anderlecht 1