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Kocaelispor vs 1461 Trabzon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019 Ismetpaşa, Izmit
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Suleyman B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Kocaelispor in this 3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kocaelispor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Kocaelispor
15%
Draws
21%
1461 Trabzon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kocaelispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kocaelispor lately — more wins on the board than 1461 Trabzon.
  • Kocaelispor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 19%
1461 Trabzon Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kocaelispor 1461 Trabzon
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.85 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2019 3. Lig Group 3
Kocaelispor vs 1461 Trabzon
1:0
Dec 15, 2018 3. Lig Group 3
1461 Trabzon vs Kocaelispor
0:0
Apr 10, 2011 2. Lig Red Group
Kocaelispor vs 1461 Trabzon
4:0
Nov 17, 2010 2. Lig Red Group
1461 Trabzon vs Kocaelispor
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kocaelispor 85 / 100
1461 Trabzon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kocaelispor 1461 Trabzon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kocaelispor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1461 Trabzon let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Kocaelispor remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

1461 Trabzon's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kocaelispor VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kocaelispor

(Home)
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
29 Aug
Konyaspor
1 : 2
Kocaelispor
24 Aug
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Amedspor
Page 1 of 7

1461 Trabzon

(Away)
04 May
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
1461 Trabzon
28 Apr
1461 Trabzon
2 : 2
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
21 Apr
Buyukcekmece Gucu
2 : 1
1461 Trabzon
14 Apr
1461 Trabzon
0 : 2
Serik Spor
07 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 2
1461 Trabzon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayburt Ozel Idare 34 20 8 6 48:22 68
2 Kocaelispor 34 17 7 10 40:31 58
3 Karacabey Bld. 34 17 7 10 45:40 58
4 Serik Spor 34 13 13 8 39:36 52
5 Corum FK 34 15 7 12 42:32 52
6 Turgutlu 34 14 7 13 49:47 49
7 24Erzincanspor 34 14 6 14 45:38 48
8 Payasspor 34 14 6 14 32:37 48
9 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 34 11 13 10 40:40 46
10 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 34 12 9 13 38:40 45
11 Muglaspor 34 11 9 14 31:33 42
12 Cankaya FK 34 9 14 11 37:35 41
13 Fatsa Bld. 34 9 13 12 32:36 40
14 Cizrespor 34 8 16 10 33:39 40
15 Golcukspor 34 9 13 12 28:32 40
16 1461 Trabzon 34 8 13 13 31:39 37
17 Buyukcekmece Gucu 34 8 11 15 37:48 35
18 Bucaspor 34 6 10 18 35:57 28
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)