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Stadium Background

Kocaelispor vs Besiktas

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Dursun S.
(Penalty)
24'
Toure E. B.
45'
Dijksteel A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Turkish Cup matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kocaelispor
40%
Draws
29%
Besiktas
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Besiktas have won more games recently than Kocaelispor.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Cup games in Turkish Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Besiktas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 19%
Besiktas Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kocaelispor Besiktas
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.43 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.43 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.86 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Besiktas
0:1
Feb 5, 2026 Turkish Cup
Kocaelispor vs Besiktas
1:1
Sep 29, 2025 Super Lig
Besiktas vs Kocaelispor
3:1
Jul 21, 2019 Club Friendly
Besiktas vs Kocaelispor
7:1
Apr 10, 2009 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Besiktas
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kocaelispor 32 / 100
Besiktas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kocaelispor Besiktas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Besiktas conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Kocaelispor found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Kocaelispor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kocaelispor VS Besiktas
0.43 Goals Scored 1.63
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.13
43% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray44008:312
2Trabzonspor430113:49
3Alanyaspor42118:47
4Basaksehir42028:76
5F. Karagumruk41215:65
6Boluspor40221:62
7Istanbulspor AS40222:92
8Fethiyespor40131:71
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Samsunspor440012:312
2Konyaspor44009:112
3Genclerbirligi43109:510
4Igdir FK41219:45
5Eyupspor41125:64
6Bodrumspor40133:71
7Aliaga40135:161
8Antalyaspor40040:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Besiktas431010:310
2Fenerbahce43019:39
3Erzurumspor FK42028:86
4Gaziantep42028:106
5Kocaelispor41124:44
6Rizespor41127:94
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi41123:54
8Keciorengucu41036:133