Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kocaelispor vs Mazidagi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Turkish Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Mazidagi have shipped 0.62 goals a game lately, while Kocaelispor have conceded 1.1 and scored 0.83. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.75 - 1.31) back Mazidagi to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Kocaelispor
15%
Draws
44%
Mazidagi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mazidagi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mazidagi lately — more wins on the board than Kocaelispor.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Mazidagi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 18%
Mazidagi Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kocaelispor Mazidagi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 0.83 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kocaelispor 36 / 100
Mazidagi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kocaelispor Mazidagi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazidagi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Kocaelispor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kocaelispor scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Mazidagi let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kocaelispor VS Mazidagi
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kocaelispor

(Home)
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
29 Aug
Konyaspor
1 : 2
Kocaelispor
24 Aug
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Amedspor
Page 1 of 6

Mazidagi

(Away)
07 Oct
Mazidagi
1 : 0
Kirsehir SK
03 Oct
Adanaspor AS
1 : 2
Mazidagi
26 Sept
Mazidagi
4 : 1
Osmaniyespor
20 Sept
Kirikkale FK
0 : 0
Mazidagi
13 Sept
Mazidagi
3 : 0
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
SinopSpor 0
Arit Kayadibi 3
Bursa Yildirimspor -
TBD -
Amasyaspor 10
Cankirigucu 0
Elazigspor -
TBD -
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Erciyes 38 -
TBD -
Kilis Birlikgucu 0
Kahta 2
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
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24Erzincanspor -
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 3
Kesap 0
TBD -
Etimesgut -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altay 2
Soke 1970 4
TBD -
Ayvalikgucu -
Nigde -
TBD -
TBD -
Agri 1970 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS -
Bigaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Balikesirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Bucaspor 1928 0
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 4
TBD -
Fethiyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eyupspor -
Zonguldak Komurspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Duzcespor -
TBD -
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Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor -
TBD -
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Aksehirspor -
TBD -
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Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
TBD -
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Mazidagi -
TBD -
Kirikkale FK 0
Kirsehir SK 3
Adana 01 -
TBD -
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Kutahyaspor -
Osmaniyespor -
TBD -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5
Bucak Belediyesi 1
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Musspor -
Pazarspor -
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Erbaaspor -
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Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
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12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
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Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu -
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Serik Spor -
Cizre Belediyesi -
Hakkari Zap -
TBD -
Adanademirspor -
Orduspor 1967 10
Torul Belediye Genclik Ve Spor 0
TBD -
Karadeniz Eregli -
TBD -
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Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
TBD -
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Gemlikspor -
TBD -
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Usak Belediyespor Kulubu -
Genclerbirligi -
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Hatayspor -
TBD -
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Karakopru -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu -
TBD -
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 3
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Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
TBD -
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Kirklarelispor -
TBD -
Bayburt Spor Kulubu 3
Borcka Spor 0
Menemenspor -
TBD -
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Karacabey Bld. -
TBD -
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Yesil Yalova FK 1
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
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Kucukcekmece -
TBD -
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Buyukcekmece Gucu -
Sanliurfaspor -
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Golcukspor -
TBD -
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Yozgat -
Inegol Kafkas -
TBD -
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K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor -
TBD -
Uzunkopruspor Kulubu 1
Bulvarspor 5
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Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
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Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
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Soma Spor -
TBD -
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Alanya 1221 -
Adanaspor AS -
Yeni Malatyaspor -
TBD -
Adana Adaletgucu -
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Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 -
TBD -
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Silifke -
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Kayserispor -
Gole Spor 0
Kars 36 Spor 5
TBD -
Fatsa Bld. -
TBD -
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Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
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Karsiyaka -
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Afyonkarahisaspor 2
Urgupspor Kulubu 1
52 Orduspor -
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Trabzon FK -
Guzide Gebzespor -
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TBD -
Malatya -
TBD -
Dersim Spor 0
Gelecek Siirt 3
Osmaneli Belediyespor 0
Eskisehir Anadolu 1
Karaman FK 2
Kepez Bld. 3
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1/8-finals
Sakaryaspor 2
Arit Kayadibi 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 2
Amasyaspor 0
Elazigspor -
TBD -
Erciyes 38 2
Kahta 0
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
TBD -
24Erzincanspor -
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1
Etimesgut 5
TBD -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
TBD -
Soke 1970 1
Ayvalikgucu 2
Nigde 0
Agri 1970 2
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS -
Bigaspor 0
Balikesirspor 3
TBD -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 0
Fethiyespor 2
TBD -
Eyupspor -
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Duzcespor 1
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor 4
Aksehirspor 1
TBD -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
TBD -
Mazidagi 1
Kirsehir SK 0
Adana 01 -
TBD -
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Kutahyaspor -
Osmaniyespor 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 3
TBD -
Musspor -
Pazarspor 3
Erbaaspor 1
TBD -
Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
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12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
TBD -
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Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0
Serik Spor 1
Hakkari Zap 6
Adanademirspor 1
Orduspor 1967 4
Karadeniz Eregli 1
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
TBD -
Gemlikspor 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 0
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
Hatayspor 1
Karakopru 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 0
TBD -
Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
TBD -
Kirklarelispor 1
Bayburt Spor Kulubu 0
Menemenspor -
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. 3
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
Kucukcekmece 5
Buyukcekmece Gucu 1
Sanliurfaspor -
TBD -
Golcukspor 2
Yozgat 0
Inegol Kafkas -
TBD -
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K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor 3
Bulvarspor 2
TBD -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
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Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
Soma Spor 4
Alanya 1221 2
Adanaspor AS 0
Adana Adaletgucu 2
TBD -
Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 6
Silifke 0
TBD -
Kayserispor -
Kars 36 Spor 1
Fatsa Bld. 0
TBD -
Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
Karsiyaka 3
Afyonkarahisaspor 1
52 Orduspor -
TBD -
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Trabzon FK -
Guzide Gebzespor -
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Malatya 3
Gelecek Siirt 1
Eskisehir Anadolu 4
Kepez Bld. 2
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Quarter-finals
Sakaryaspor -
Bursa Yildirimspor -
Elazigspor -
Erciyes 38 -
Kastamonuspor -
24Erzincanspor -
Etimesgut -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
Ayvalikgucu -
Agri 1970 -
Istanbulspor AS -
Balikesirspor -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Fethiyespor -
Eyupspor -
Duzcespor -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
Mazidagi -
Adana 01 -
Kutahyaspor -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu -
Musspor -
Pazarspor -
Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Serik Spor -
Hakkari Zap -
Orduspor 1967 -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
Gemlikspor -
Genclerbirligi -
Karakopru -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu -
Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
Kirklarelispor -
Menemenspor -
Karacabey Bld. -
Umraniyespor -
Kucukcekmece -
Sanliurfaspor -
Golcukspor -
Inegol Kafkas -
K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
Soma Spor -
Adana Adaletgucu -
Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 -
Kayserispor -
Kars 36 Spor -
Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
Karsiyaka -
52 Orduspor -
Trabzon FK -
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