Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig 2023/2024 Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu

Tuzlaspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kocaelispor play Tuzlaspor in the 1. Lig 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kocaelispor averaged 0.78 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Tuzlaspor averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Kocaelispor won 2, Tuzlaspor won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 10, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Kocaelispor and 1.06 for Tuzlaspor. This points to a Tuzlaspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Kocaelispor

28%

Draws

36%

Tuzlaspor

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tuzlaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Kocaelispor picked up more points recently compared to Tuzlaspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 22%

Tuzlaspor Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kocaelispor	Tuzlaspor
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	9	8
Draws	9	10
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	0.78	1.14
Goals Conceded	1.06	1.24

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 1. Lig

Kocaelispor vs Tuzlaspor

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 2 - 4

1:2

Oct 21, 2023 1. Lig

Tuzlaspor vs Kocaelispor

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 0 - 0

1:2

Feb 19, 2022 1. Lig

Tuzlaspor vs Kocaelispor

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Sep 24, 2021 1. Lig

Kocaelispor vs Tuzlaspor

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Mar 29, 2014 3. Lig Group 3

Tuzlaspor vs Kocaelispor

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kocaelispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaral J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Tuzlaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Bangoura S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kocaelispor 37 / 100

Tuzlaspor 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kocaelispor Tuzlaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tuzlaspor or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kocaelispor attacking → ← attacking Tuzlaspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kocaelispor scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Tuzlaspor let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Kocaelispor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tuzlaspor lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 34

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eyupspor	34	24	3	7	77:31	75
2	Goztepe	34	21	7	6	60:20	70
3	Sakaryaspor	34	17	9	8	50:35	60
4	Bodrumspor	34	15	12	7	43:22	57
5	Corum FK	34	16	8	10	55:36	56
6	Kocaelispor	34	16	7	11	48:41	55
7	Boluspor	34	15	8	11	33:35	53
8	Genclerbirligi	34	13	12	9	39:33	51
9	Bandirmaspor	34	13	11	10	49:32	50
10	Erzurumspor FK	34	12	11	11	30:34	44
11	Umraniyespor	34	12	7	15	40:47	43
12	Manisa FK	34	9	13	12	40:40	40
13	Keciorengucu	34	10	10	14	34:43	40
14	Adanaspor AS	34	11	6	17	28:45	39
15	Sanliurfaspor	34	9	11	14	32:37	38
16	Tuzlaspor	34	9	11	14	35:47	38
17	Altay	34	5	4	25	16:76	10
18	Giresunspor	34	2	4	28	16:71	7